Coriano vs Pavia — Serie D - Girone D
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Coriano and Pavia meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Coriano have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Pavia have won 17% of their 12 matches, with 0.83 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Coriano and 1.18 for Pavia. The models give Coriano a 32% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Pavia win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Coriano
PaviaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Coriano | Home | Away | Pavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 80% | 60% | 58% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 42% | 38% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Coriano | Home | Away | Pavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 80% | 80% | 67% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 42% | 38% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 33% | 38% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Coriano | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS | 60% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Coriano | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Coriano (H)
Arconatese1–2
Pontedera1–2
Crema0–0
Lentigione1–2
Città di Varese1–1
Piacenza1–0Pavia (A)
Pistoiese0–1
Correggese1–2
Sant'Angelo0–0
Pisa1–6
Breno1–0
Chievo1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  USD Casatese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Pro Sesto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Pavia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Solbiatese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Città di Varese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Correggese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Crema | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Coriano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
Team Insights
Coriano- ●Coriano have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Coriano failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Coriano have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Coriano have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Coriano have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Coriano failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Coriano failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Coriano's points have been earned away.
Pavia- ●Pavia have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Pavia have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pavia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pavia have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Pavia have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●88% of Pavia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Pavia's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
CorianoCorreggese2–2Arconatese1–2Solbiatese1–2Sant'Angelo0–2Pontedera1–2Crema0–0Varesina08/11Pistoiese15/11USD Casatese22/11PaviaPro Patria1–0USD Casatese3–1Pistoiese0–1Varesina2–2Correggese1–2Arconatese1–1Cittadella Vis Modena08/11Pro Sesto15/11Castellanzese22/11Top Scorers
CorianoPaviaCards Given
CorianoPavia