Pro Sesto vs Pro Patria — Serie D - Girone D
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Pro Sesto and Pro Patria meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Pro Sesto have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Pro Patria have won 64% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Pro Sesto and 1.37 for Pro Patria. The models give Pro Sesto a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Pro Patria win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Pro SestoPro PatriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pro Sesto | Home | Away | Pro Patria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 79% | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 60% | 40% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 40% | 21% | 14% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Pro Sesto | Home | Away | Pro Patria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 80% | 40% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 40% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 20% | 60% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pro Sesto | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pro Sesto | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 7% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Pro Sesto (H)
Sant'Angelo1–2
Solbiatese1–1
Oltrepò6–1
Pontedera3–0
Lentigione2–3
Tuttocuoio2–0Pro Patria (A)
Pavia0–1
Leon1–1
USD Casatese2–1
Città di Varese5–2
Varesina0–0
Arconatese3–0Head to Head · 8 matches
Pro PatriaPro SestoPro SestoPro PatriaPro SestoPro PatriaPro PatriaPro Sesto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 |  Castellanzese | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 | USD Casatese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Pavia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Solbiatese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Città di Varese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Correggese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Crema | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 |  Coriano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 | Oltrepò | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
Team Insights
Pro Sesto- ●Pro Sesto have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pro Sesto failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pro Sesto have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●68% of Pro Sesto's goals have been scored at home.
- ●78% of Pro Sesto's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Pro Patria- ●Pro Patria have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Pro Patria have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pro SestoUSD Casatese0–1Sant'Angelo1–2Varesina0–0Solbiatese1–1Arconatese1–1Oltrepò6–1Correggese08/11Pavia15/11Pistoiese22/11Pro PatriaPavia0–1Correggese1–1USD Casatese2–1Sant'Angelo1–0Varesina0–0Solbiatese0–1Pistoiese08/11Castellanzese15/11Cittadella Vis Modena22/11Top Scorers
Pro SestoPro Patria