Lentigione vs USD Casatese — Serie D - Girone D
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Lentigione and USD Casatese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Lentigione have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. USD Casatese have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Lentigione and 1.09 for USD Casatese. The models give Lentigione a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an USD Casatese win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
LentigioneUSD CasateseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lentigione | Home | Away | USD Casatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 91% | 80% | 100% | 80% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 20% | 83% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Lentigione | Home | Away | USD Casatese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 60% | 83% | 70% | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 20% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 20% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 40% | 17% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lentigione | USD Casatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS | 64% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lentigione | USD Casatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 64% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Lentigione (H)
Crema1–1
Pontedera2–0
Piacenza1–3
Cittadella Vis Modena0–1
Castellanzese1–0Piacenza0–2USD Casatese (A)
Pavia1–3Cittadella Vis Modena1–0
Correggese3–1
Solbiatese0–0
Scanzorosciate3–0
Vogherese4–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Castellanzese | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 | USD Casatese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Pro Sesto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Pavia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Solbiatese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Sant'Angelo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 |  Città di Varese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Correggese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Crema | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Pontedera | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 |  Coriano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
Team Insights
Lentigione- ●Lentigione have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Lentigione have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Lentigione have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Lentigione have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Lentigione have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lentigione failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lentigione have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lentigione have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●75% of Lentigione's goals have been scored away.
- ●78% of Lentigione's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●67% of Lentigione's points have been earned away.
USD Casatese- ●USD Casatese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●64% of USD Casatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of USD Casatese's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
LentigioneSant'Angelo2–0Crema1–1Solbiatese2–2Pontedera2–0Oltrepò2–1Città di Varese1–1Arconatese08/11Correggese15/11Varesina22/11USD CasatesePro Sesto1–0Pavia1–3Pro Patria1–2Cittadella Vis Modena1–0Pistoiese0–3Varesina4–2Castellanzese08/11Città di Varese15/11Coriano22/11Top Scorers
LentigioneUSD Casatese