Cittadella Vis Modena vs Castellanzese — Serie D - Girone D
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Cittadella Vis Modena and Castellanzese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Cittadella Vis Modena have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 0.92 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 42% of games. Castellanzese have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.15 for Cittadella Vis Modena and 1.22 for Castellanzese. The models give Cittadella Vis Modena a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Castellanzese win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Cittadella Vis ModenaCastellanzeseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cittadella Vis | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 58% | 40% | 71% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 20% | 29% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 14% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 42% | 60% | 29% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Cittadella Vis | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 58% | 60% | 57% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 43% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 14% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 42% | 40% | 43% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cittadella Vis | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 42% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 20% |
| BTTS | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cittadella Vis | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 18% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 60% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 36% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 45% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 9% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Cittadella Vis (H)
Pistoiese2–1
USD Casatese0–1
Correggese0–1
Città di Varese0–0
Coriano1–0
Pro Palazzolo1–0Castellanzese (A)Pistoiese2–4Correggese2–0
Sant'Angelo2–1
Solbiatese4–1
Lentigione0–1
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Pro Patria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Castellanzese | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 | USD Casatese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 |  Pro Sesto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Pavia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Solbiatese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Sant'Angelo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Città di Varese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Correggese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 |  Crema | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Pontedera | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Coriano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
Team Insights
Cittadella Vis- ●Cittadella Vis Modena have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Cittadella Vis Modena's goals have been scored away.
Castellanzese- ●Castellanzese have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Castellanzese have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Castellanzese failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Castellanzese have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Castellanzese's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Castellanzese have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Cittadella VisCrema1–2Pistoiese2–1Oltrepò0–0USD Casatese0–1Pontedera3–0Correggese0–1Pavia08/11Solbiatese15/11Pro Patria22/11CastellanzesePistoiese2–4Varesina1–1Correggese2–0Arconatese1–0Sant'Angelo2–1Crema4–0USD Casatese08/11Pro Patria15/11Pavia22/11Top Scorers
Cittadella VisCastellanzeseCards Given
Cittadella VisCastellanzese