Varesina vs Crema — Serie D - Girone D
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Varesina and Crema meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Varesina have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Crema have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Varesina and 0.86 for Crema. The models give Varesina a 48% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Crema win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
Varesina
CremaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varesina | Home | Away | Crema | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 40% | 100% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 40% | 40% | 30% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 60% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 80% |
Goals Conceded
| Varesina | Home | Away | Crema | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 60% | 100% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 20% | 60% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varesina | Crema | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 70% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varesina | Crema | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 70% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 70% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Varesina (H)
Città di Varese3–1
Pro Sesto0–0
Pro Patria0–0
Pistoiese0–1
Cittadella Vis Modena3–2
Breno2–2Crema (A)
Lentigione1–1
Coriano0–0
Castellanzese0–4Pro Patria0–2
Pavia0–0
Piacenza1–3Head to Head · 4 matches
VaresinaCremaCremaVaresina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 27 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Castellanzese | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |  USD Casatese | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Pavia | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Solbiatese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 |  Sant'Angelo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Città di Varese | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 |  Correggese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 13 | Crema | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 14 | Varesina | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Pontedera | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Coriano | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 18 |  Oltrepò | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -16 | 5 |
Team Insights
Varesina- ●Varesina have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Varesina have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Varesina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Varesina have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Varesina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Varesina have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Varesina's goals conceded were conceded away.
Crema- ●Crema have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Crema have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Crema failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Crema failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●91% of Crema's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Crema's points have been earned at home.
- ●Crema have conceded 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
VaresinaCittà di Varese3–1Castellanzese1–1Pro Sesto0–0Pavia2–2Pro Patria0–0USD Casatese2–4Coriano08/11Pontedera15/11Lentigione22/11CremaCittadella Vis Modena2–1Lentigione1–1Pontedera4–1Coriano0–0Città di Varese3–2Castellanzese0–4Oltrepò08/11Arconatese15/11Solbiatese22/11Top Scorers
VaresinaCrema