Varesina vs Pontedera — Serie D - Girone D
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Varesina and Pontedera meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Varesina have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Pontedera have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Varesina and 1.00 for Pontedera. The models give Varesina a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Pontedera win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Varesina
PontederaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Varesina | Home | Away | Pontedera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 25% | 100% | 56% | 50% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 40% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 75% | 0% | 44% | 50% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Varesina | Home | Away | Pontedera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 25% | 60% | 78% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 75% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Varesina | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS | 67% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Varesina | Pontedera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 78% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 78% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Varesina (H)
Pro Sesto0–0
Pro Patria0–0
Pistoiese0–1
Cittadella Vis Modena3–2
Breno2–2
Chievo0–1Pontedera (A)
Crema1–4
Coriano2–1
Lentigione0–2Pro Sesto0–3
Castellanzese1–3
Sambenedettese1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
Varesina- ●Varesina have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Varesina have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Varesina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Varesina have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Varesina failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Varesina have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Varesina's goals have been scored away.
- ●77% of Varesina's goals conceded were conceded away.
Pontedera- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Pontedera have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Pontedera failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Pontedera have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
VaresinaCastellanzese1–1Pro Sesto0–0Pavia2–2Pro Patria0–0USD Casatese2–4Pistoiese0–1Città di Varese01/11Coriano08/11Pontedera15/11PontederaOltrepò1–1Crema1–4Coriano2–1Lentigione0–2Cittadella Vis Modena0–3Città di Varese0–3Arconatese01/11Solbiatese08/11Varesina15/11Top Scorers
VaresinaPontederaCards Given
VaresinaPontedera