USD Casatese vs Città di Varese — Serie D - Girone D
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USD Casatese and Città di Varese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 15 November 2026. USD Casatese have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Città di Varese have won 36% of their 11 matches, with 1.73 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for USD Casatese and 1.72 for Città di Varese. The models give USD Casatese a 34% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Città di Varese win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
USD CasateseCittà di VareseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| USD Casatese | Home | Away | Città di | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 20% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| USD Casatese | Home | Away | Città di | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 80% | 25% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| USD Casatese | Città di | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 33% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| USD Casatese | Città di | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 11% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
USD Casatese (H)
Pro Patria1–2
Pistoiese0–3
Varesina4–2
Sant'Angelo1–2
Arconatese2–1
Chievo2–3Città di (A)Arconatese5–1
Crema2–3
Pontedera3–0
Cittadella Vis Modena0–0
Coriano1–1
Renate0–2Head to Head · 2 matches
USD CasateseCittà di Varese| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
USD Casatese- ●USD Casatese failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●USD Casatese failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●62% of USD Casatese's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of USD Casatese's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Città di- ●Città di Varese have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Città di Varese have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Città di Varese have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Città di Varese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●79% of Città di Varese's goals have been scored away.
- ●62% of Città di Varese's points have been earned away.
- ●Città di Varese have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
USD CasatesePavia1–3Pro Patria1–2Cittadella Vis Modena1–0Pistoiese0–3Varesina4–2Correggese3–1Pro Sesto01/11Castellanzese08/11Città di Varese15/11Città diSolbiatese0–0Arconatese5–1Oltrepò2–0Crema2–3Lentigione1–1Pontedera3–0Varesina01/11Sant'Angelo08/11USD Casatese15/11Top Scorers
USD CasateseCittà di