Pro Patria vs Castellanzese — Serie D - Girone D
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Pro Patria and Castellanzese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Pro Patria have recorded 9 wins from 11 matches this season (82% win rate), averaging 2.09 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Castellanzese have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Pro Patria and 1.27 for Castellanzese. The models give Pro Patria a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Castellanzese win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Pro PatriaCastellanzeseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pro Patria | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 86% | 80% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 67% | 57% | 80% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 14% | 60% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Pro Patria | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 71% | 60% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 29% | 40% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pro Patria | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 11% |
| BTTS | 58% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pro Patria | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 58% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 58% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Pro Patria (H)
Correggese1–1
Sant'Angelo1–0
Solbiatese0–1
Crema2–0
Oltrepò2–1
Gozzano3–1Castellanzese (A)Correggese2–0Sant'Angelo2–1Solbiatese4–1
Lentigione0–1
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1
Chievo2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 | Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 | Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
Pro Patria- ●Pro Patria have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Pro Patria have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
Castellanzese- ●Castellanzese have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Castellanzese have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Castellanzese have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Pro PatriaCorreggese1–1USD Casatese2–1Sant'Angelo1–0Varesina0–0Solbiatese0–1Arconatese3–0Pavia01/11Pistoiese08/11Castellanzese15/11CastellanzeseVaresina1–1Correggese2–0Arconatese1–0Sant'Angelo2–1Crema4–0Solbiatese4–1Pistoiese01/11USD Casatese08/11Pro Patria15/11Top Scorers
Pro PatriaCastellanzese