Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia — Serie D - Girone D
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Cittadella Vis Modena and Pavia meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Cittadella Vis Modena have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Pavia have won 0% of their 10 matches, with 0.60 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.96 for Cittadella Vis Modena and 0.94 for Pavia. The models give Cittadella Vis Modena a 42% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Pavia win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Cittadella Vis ModenaPaviaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cittadella Vis | Home | Away | Pavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 0% | 33% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 75% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Cittadella Vis | Home | Away | Pavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 17% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cittadella Vis | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS | 20% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cittadella Vis | Pavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 60% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 22% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 11% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 33% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Cittadella Vis (H)
USD Casatese0–1
Correggese0–1
Città di Varese0–0
Coriano1–0
Pro Palazzolo1–0
Rovato Vertovese0–0Pavia (A)
Pistoiese0–1Correggese1–2
Sant'Angelo0–0
Pisa1–6
Breno1–0
Chievo1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 |  Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 | USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
Cittadella Vis- ●Cittadella Vis Modena have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cittadella Vis Modena have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Cittadella Vis Modena's points have been earned away.
Pavia- ●Pavia have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Pavia have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Pavia have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Cittadella VisOltrepò0–0USD Casatese0–1Pontedera3–0Correggese0–1Lentigione1–0Città di Varese0–0Pistoiese25/10Crema01/11Pavia08/11PaviaPistoiese0–1Varesina2–2Correggese1–2Arconatese1–1Sant'Angelo0–0Solbiatese0–0USD Casatese25/10Pro Patria01/11Cittadella Vis Modena08/11Top Scorers
Cittadella VisPaviaCards Given
Cittadella VisPavia