Pistoiese vs Castellanzese — Serie D - Girone D
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Pistoiese and Castellanzese meet in the Serie D - Girone D 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Pistoiese have recorded 8 wins from 10 matches this season (80% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 10% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 80% of games. Castellanzese have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Pistoiese and 1.04 for Castellanzese. The models give Pistoiese a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Castellanzese win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
PistoieseCastellanzeseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pistoiese | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 67% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 60% | 33% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 36% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 33% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Pistoiese | Home | Away | Castellanzese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 27% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 73% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pistoiese | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 11% |
| BTTS | 18% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 27% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pistoiese | Castellanzese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 18% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 9% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 56% |
Recent Venue Form
Pistoiese (H)
Pavia1–0
Correggese1–0
Sant'Angelo3–0
Arconatese5–0
Solbiatese2–0
Piacenza1–3Castellanzese (A)Correggese2–0Sant'Angelo2–1Solbiatese4–1
Lentigione0–1
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1
Chievo2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +18 | 24 |
| 2 |  Pro Patria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | Castellanzese | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Pro Sesto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 |
| 6 |  USD Casatese | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Città di Varese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 8 |  Cittadella Vis Modena | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Solbiatese | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Correggese | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 | Pavia | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 13 |  Crema | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Varesina | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Coriano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Oltrepò | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Arconatese | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Pontedera | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -16 | 3 |
Team Insights
Pistoiese- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Pistoiese have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Pistoiese have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Pistoiese have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Castellanzese- ●Castellanzese have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Castellanzese have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Castellanzese have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Castellanzese have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
PistoieseCittadella Vis Modena1–2Pavia1–0Correggese1–0USD Casatese3–0Sant'Angelo3–0Varesina1–0Castellanzese01/11Pro Patria08/11Coriano15/11CastellanzeseVaresina1–1Correggese2–0Arconatese1–0Sant'Angelo2–1Crema4–0Solbiatese4–1Pistoiese01/11USD Casatese08/11Pro Patria15/11Top Scorers
PistoieseCastellanzese