Modica vs Gela — Serie D - Girone I
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Modica and Gela meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Modica have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Gela have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Modica and 0.74 for Gela. The models give Modica a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Gela win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 41%.
Season Statistics
Modica
GelaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Modica | Home | Away | Gela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 67% | 60% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 40% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 33% | 40% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Modica | Home | Away | Gela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 33% | 80% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 40% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 67% | 20% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Modica | Gela | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 25% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Modica | Gela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 75% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Modica (H)
Enna3–0
CastrumFavara1–0
Reggina0–1Gela (A)
Vibonese1–1
Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1
Siracusa1–2
Sambiase1–2
Gelbison0–1CastrumFavara1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Licata | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 | Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 |  Nissa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Trapani 1905 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Modica- ●Modica have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Modica have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Modica have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●90% of Modica's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Modica's points have been earned at home.
- ●Modica have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Gela- ●Gela have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Gela have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●75% of Gela's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Gela's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
ModicaDigiesse PraiaTortora1–5Enna3–0Siracusa0–1CastrumFavara1–0Sambiase0–1Reggina0–1Milazzo25/10Gela01/11Licata08/11GelaVibonese1–1Milazzo1–1AC Palermo0–0Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1Enna0–0Siracusa1–2Licata25/10Modica01/11Calcio Avola08/11Top Scorers
ModicaGelaCards Given
ModicaGela