Milazzo vs Modica — Serie D - Girone I
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Milazzo and Modica meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Milazzo have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Modica have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Milazzo and 0.91 for Modica. The models give Milazzo a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Modica win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Milazzo
ModicaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Milazzo | Home | Away | Modica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Milazzo | Home | Away | Modica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 63% | 33% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 67% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Milazzo | Modica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 38% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Milazzo | Modica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 75% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Milazzo (H)
Digiesse PraiaTortora3–1
Siracusa1–0
Sambiase0–1
Ragusa3–1
Reggina1–2Sambiase0–1Modica (A)Digiesse PraiaTortora1–5
Calcio Avola4–0Siracusa0–1Sambiase0–1Ragusa2–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Licata | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 | Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 |  Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 |  Nissa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 |  Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 |  CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Trapani 1905 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Milazzo- ●Milazzo have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Milazzo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●78% of Milazzo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Milazzo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Modica- ●Modica have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Modica have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Modica have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●90% of Modica's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Modica's points have been earned at home.
- ●Modica have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MilazzoDigiesse PraiaTortora3–1Gela1–1Siracusa1–0AC Palermo0–3Sambiase0–1Enna1–0Modica25/10Vibonese01/11Vigor Lamezia08/11ModicaDigiesse PraiaTortora1–5Enna3–0Siracusa0–1CastrumFavara1–0Sambiase0–1Reggina0–1Milazzo25/10Gela01/11Licata08/11Top Scorers
MilazzoModicaCards Given
MilazzoModica