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Siracusa vs CastrumFavara — Serie D - Girone I

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Siracusa
Siracusa
12º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 23h
vs
–
–
CastrumFavara
CastrumFavara
13º · 0.80 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h
Stadio Nicola de Simone·Siracusa·Italy·4,980
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Siracusa and CastrumFavara meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Siracusa have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. CastrumFavara have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 10%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.99 for Siracusa and 0.84 for CastrumFavara. The models give Siracusa a 62% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an CastrumFavara win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 49%.

Season Statistics

Siracusa
—
CastrumFavara
12º
Position
13º
1.50
PPG
0.80
40%
Win %
20%
1.50
Goals / game
1.10
1.20
Conceded / game
1.70
60%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
10%
50%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Siracusa
Home (5)
—
CastrumFavara
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.00
80%
Win %
0%
2.20
Goals / game
0.40
0.80
Conceded / game
2.20
60%
BTTS %
40%
40%
Clean sheet %
0%
60%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

SiracusaHomeAwayCastrumFavaraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored80%100%60%60%80%40%
Over 1.5 Scored40%60%20%30%60%0%
Over 2.5 Scored20%40%0%20%40%0%
Failed To Score20%0%40%40%20%60%

Goals Conceded

SiracusaHomeAwayCastrumFavaraHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded70%60%80%90%80%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded30%20%40%50%40%60%
Over 2.5 Conceded10%0%20%10%0%20%
Clean Sheets30%40%20%10%20%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

SiracusaCastrumFavara
Over 0.590%100%
Over 1.570%70%
Over 2.550%50%
Over 3.520%30%
Over 4.520%20%
BTTS60%50%
BTTS & Win20%10%
BTTS & Draw20%20%
BTTS & Over 2.540%40%
BTTS No & Over 2.510%10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

SiracusaCastrumFavara
Win 1st Half40%30%
Draw 1st Half40%60%
Loss 1st Half20%10%
Scored 1st Half60%40%
Conceded 1st Half30%30%
Win 2nd Half40%10%
Draw 2nd Half20%20%
Loss 2nd Half40%70%
Scored 2nd Half60%40%
Conceded 2nd Half60%90%
Over 0.5 HT70%50%
Over 1.5 HT40%30%

Recent Venue Form

Siracusa (H)
DTrapani 19051–1
WVigor Lamezia3–0
WModica1–0
WGela2–1
WAC Palermo4–2
DCavese1–1
CastrumFavara (A)
LNissa1–5
LTrapani 19050–1
LVigor Lamezia0–2
LModica0–1
LGela1–2
WPaternò3–1

Head to Head · 2 matches

1
Siracusa
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
CastrumFavara
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
23/03/25
Siracusa
3–1
CastrumFavara
10/11/24
CastrumFavara
1–1
Siracusa
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Reggina10721+1823
2Sambiase10721+923
3Vibonese10631+1321
4Calcio Avola10613+219
5Digiesse PraiaTortora10532+818
6Licata10523-317
7Milazzo10514-116
8Igea Virtus10433+215
9AC Palermo9423+214
10Gela10343+312
11Nissa10334+212
12Siracusa10433+38
13CastrumFavara10226-68
14Vigor Lamezia10226-88
15Modica9216-57
16Trapani 190510325-76
17Ragusa10037-123
18Enna10037-203

Team Insights

Siracusa
  • ●Siracusa have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Siracusa have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Siracusa have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Siracusa have lost their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Siracusa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●73% of Siracusa's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of Siracusa's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●87% of Siracusa's points have been earned at home.
CastrumFavara
  • ●CastrumFavara have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
  • ●CastrumFavara have lost their last 5 away matches.
  • ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●CastrumFavara failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●CastrumFavara have lost 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●82% of CastrumFavara's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●65% of CastrumFavara's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●100% of CastrumFavara's points have been earned at home.
LACalcio Avola4º2–4
DHTrapani 190516º1–1
LALicata6º1–2
WHVigor Lamezia14º3–0
LAMilazzo7º0–1
WHModica15º1–0
WHGela10º2–1
DAVibonese3º1–1
WHAC Palermo9º4–2
LANissa11º1–5
DHReggina1º2–2
LATrapani 190516º0–1
WHIgea Virtus8º3–2
LAVigor Lamezia14º0–2
LHCalcio Avola4º0–1
LAModica15º0–1
DHLicata6º1–1
LAGela10º1–2
WHMilazzo7º3–0

Season Schedule

Siracusa
LACalcio Avola2–4
DHTrapani 19051–1
LALicata1–2
WHVigor Lamezia3–0
LAMilazzo0–1
WHModica1–0
–HNissa08/11
–AIgea Virtus15/11
–HRagusa22/11
CastrumFavara
LANissa1–5
DHReggina2–2
LATrapani 19050–1
WHIgea Virtus3–2
LAVigor Lamezia0–2
LHCalcio Avola0–1
–HVibonese08/11
–ARagusa15/11
–AEnna22/11

Top Scorers

Siracusa
A. Guida3 ⚽
G. Costanzo2 ⚽
E. Dalloro1 ⚽
F. De Caro1 ⚽
G. Aurino1 ⚽
N. Mbaba1 ⚽
CastrumFavara
S. Schembari2 ⚽
S. Tripoli2 ⚽
G. Marchica2 ⚽
G. Mazza1 ⚽
A. Bellingardo1 ⚽
V. Ballatore1 ⚽

Cards Given

Siracusa
A. Guida1 🟨
CastrumFavara
Mazza1 🟨