Vigor Lamezia vs Gela — Serie D - Girone I
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Vigor Lamezia and Gela meet in the Serie D - Girone I 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Vigor Lamezia have recorded 2 wins from 9 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 78%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Gela have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Vigor Lamezia and 0.98 for Gela. The models give Vigor Lamezia a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Gela win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Vigor LameziaGelaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Vigor Lamezia | Home | Away | Gela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 80% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Vigor Lamezia | Home | Away | Gela | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 60% | 100% | 67% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 44% | 20% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 40% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Vigor Lamezia | Gela | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Vigor Lamezia | Gela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 56% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 11% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 67% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Vigor Lamezia (H)
Enna3–0
Gelbison2–2
CastrumFavara2–0
Reggina0–3
Igea Virtus2–2Igea Virtus4–1Gela (A)
Vibonese1–1
Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1
Siracusa1–2
Sambiase1–2Gelbison0–1CastrumFavara1–3Head to Head · 2 matches
GelaVigor Lamezia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Reggina | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 19 |
| 2 | Sambiase | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Licata | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 17 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 5 | Vibonese | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Milazzo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Digiesse PraiaTortora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 12 |
| 9 |  Nissa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Vigor Lamezia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Siracusa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 13 | CastrumFavara | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Modica | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Gela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 |  Trapani 1905 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Enna | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Vigor Lamezia- ●Vigor Lamezia have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Vigor Lamezia have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Vigor Lamezia have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●70% of Vigor Lamezia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Vigor Lamezia's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Vigor Lamezia's points have been earned at home.
- ●Vigor Lamezia have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Gela- ●Gela have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Gela have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Gela have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●70% of Gela's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Gela's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Gela's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Vigor LameziaEnna3–0Siracusa0–3CastrumFavara2–0Sambiase1–4Reggina0–3Ragusa1–1Digiesse PraiaTortora25/10AC Palermo01/11Milazzo08/11GelaLicata4–0Vibonese1–1Milazzo1–1AC Palermo0–0Digiesse PraiaTortora0–1Enna0–0Modica01/11Calcio Avola08/11Vigor Lamezia15/11Top Scorers
Vigor LameziaGelaCards Given
Vigor LameziaGela