Luparense vs Calvi Noale — Serie D - Girone C
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Luparense and Calvi Noale meet in the Serie D - Girone C 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Luparense have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 0.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Calvi Noale have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Luparense and 1.03 for Calvi Noale. The models give Luparense a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Calvi Noale win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Luparense—
Calvi Noale1º
Position
15º
2.25
PPG
1.00
63%
Win %
25%
1.88
Goals / game
0.88
0.38
Conceded / game
1.25
33%
BTTS %
38%
56%
Clean sheet %
25%
44%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Luparense
Home (4)
—
Calvi Noale
Away (4)
3.00
PPG
1.75
100%
Win %
50%
2.75
Goals / game
1.75
0.25
Conceded / game
1.25
25%
BTTS %
75%
75%
Clean sheet %
25%
75%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Luparense | Home | Away | Calvi Noale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 33% | 44% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 75% | 17% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 75% | 17% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 0% | 67% | 56% | 100% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Luparense | Home | Away | Calvi Noale | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 25% | 50% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 75% | 50% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luparense | Calvi Noale | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 70% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luparense | Calvi Noale | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 60% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Luparense (H)W
Este1–0
Este1–0W
Clodiense3–0
Clodiense3–0W
Virtus Bolzano4–0
Virtus Bolzano4–0W
Legnago Salus3–1
Legnago Salus3–1W
Vigasio1–0
Vigasio1–0L
Mestre1–2
Mestre1–2Calvi Noale (A)LClodiense2–3
Clodiense2–3WVirtus Bolzano3–1
Virtus Bolzano3–1WLegnago Salus1–0
Legnago Salus1–0D
Triestina1–1
Triestina1–1W
Bassano Virtus1–0
Bassano Virtus1–0W
Portogruaro3–1
Portogruaro3–1Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Luparense
60%
2
Draws
40%
0
Calvi Noale
0%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
25/01/26Luparense
Calvi Noale
0–1Luparense24/09/25Calvi Noale
Luparense
2–1Calvi Noale29/01/25Luparense
Calvi Noale
1–2Luparense02/10/24Calvi Noale
Luparense
1–1Calvi Noale25/08/24Luparense
Calvi Noale
0–0Luparense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luparense | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +12 | 18 |
| 2 |  Cjarlins Muzane | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 18 |
| 3 | Clodiense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 16 |
| 4 |  Sandona | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 | Legnago Salus | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Campodarsego | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Bassano Virtus | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 8 |  LME | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Mestre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Este | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 |  Conegliano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 |  Altavilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +6 | 9 |
| 13 | Triestina | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Virtus Bolzano | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -15 | 9 |
| 15 | Calvi Noale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  FC Obermais | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 |  Schio | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 |  Brian Lignano | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Luparense- ●Luparense have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Luparense have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Luparense have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Luparense have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Luparense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Luparense have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Luparense have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Luparense have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●73% of Luparense's goals have been scored at home.
Calvi Noale- ●Calvi Noale have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Calvi Noale have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Calvi Noale failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Calvi Noale have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Calvi Noale have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Calvi Noale have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Calvi Noale failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Calvi Noale have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●88% of Calvi Noale's points have been earned away.
- ●Calvi Noale have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LuparenseDAAltavilla0–0
Altavilla0–0DASandona0–0
Sandona0–0WHEste1–0
Este1–0WABrian Lignano3–1
Brian Lignano3–1WHClodiense3–0
Clodiense3–0DASchio0–0
Schio0–0–HCalvi Noale01/11
Calvi Noale01/11–ACampodarsego08/11
Campodarsego08/11–HBassano Virtus15/11
Bassano Virtus15/11Calvi NoaleLHEste0–1
Este0–1LAClodiense2–3
Clodiense2–3LHSandona0–2
Sandona0–2WAVirtus Bolzano3–1
Virtus Bolzano3–1LHBrian Lignano0–1
Brian Lignano0–1WALegnago Salus1–0
Legnago Salus1–0–ALuparense01/11
Luparense01/11–ABassano Virtus08/11
Bassano Virtus08/11–HAltavilla15/11
Altavilla15/11Top Scorers
LuparenseC. Diallo5 ⚽
L. Carron3 ⚽
G. Marangon2 ⚽
A. Chiesurin2 ⚽
A. Fusco1 ⚽
M. Antoniazzi1 ⚽
Calvi NoaleE. Mion2 ⚽
A. Gashi1 ⚽
F. Cuccato1 ⚽
J. De Polo1 ⚽
S. Butti1 ⚽
T. Irace1 ⚽
Cards Given
LuparenseCalvi Noale1 🟨