Real Calepina vs Pavonese — Serie D - Girone B
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Real Calepina and Pavonese meet in the Serie D - Girone B 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Real Calepina have recorded 3 wins from 9 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Pavonese have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Real Calepina and 1.16 for Pavonese. The models give Real Calepina a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Pavonese win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Real CalepinaPavoneseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Real Calepina | Home | Away | Pavonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 60% | 75% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 60% | 25% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 40% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Real Calepina | Home | Away | Pavonese | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 50% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 80% | 25% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 50% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Real Calepina | Pavonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 14% |
| BTTS | 56% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Real Calepina | Pavonese | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 71% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Real Calepina (H)
Villa Valle0–3
Leon0–2
Brusaporto2–3
Caldiero Terme2–2
Pro Palazzolo5–1
Scanzorosciate1–1Pavonese (A)Leon0–3
Virtus Verona1–0
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1
Chievo0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 2 | Chievo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | Caldiero Terme | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 |  Piacenza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 | Villa Valle | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Milan II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Virtus Verona | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Scanzorosciate | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavonese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Pro Palazzolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 | Brusaporto | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  Rovato Vertovese | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Club Milano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorenzuola | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tritium | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
Team Insights
Real Calepina- ●Real Calepina have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Real Calepina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Real Calepina's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●64% of Real Calepina's points have been earned away.
Pavonese- ●Pavonese have won their last 2 home matches.
Season Schedule
Real CalepinaClub Milano2–1Villa Valle0–3Rovato Vertovese1–0Brusaporto2–3Piacenza1–3Caldiero Terme2–2Pavonese25/10Virtus Ciserano Bergamo01/11Chievo08/11PavoneseFiorenzuola2–1Leon0–3Virtus Verona1–0Tritium3–2Virtus Ciserano Bergamo1–1Club Milano0–2Real Calepina25/10Milan II28/10Pro Palazzolo01/11Top Scorers
Real CalepinaPavonese