Virtus Ciserano Bergamo vs Real Calepina — Serie D - Girone B
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Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and Real Calepina meet in the Serie D - Girone B 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Real Calepina have won 33% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Virtus Ciserano Bergamo and 0.99 for Real Calepina. The models give Virtus Ciserano Bergamo a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Real Calepina win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Virtus Ciserano BergamoReal CalepinaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Virtus Ciserano | Home | Away | Real Calepina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 67% | 67% | 60% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Virtus Ciserano | Home | Away | Real Calepina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 60% | 67% | 78% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 20% | 67% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 40% | 33% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Virtus Ciserano | Real Calepina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS | 63% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Virtus Ciserano | Real Calepina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Virtus Ciserano (H)
Leon1–2
Virtus Verona3–0
Club Milano1–1
Pavonese1–1
Rovato Vertovese2–0
Castellanzese1–1Real Calepina (A)Club Milano2–1Rovato Vertovese1–0
Piacenza1–3
Scanzorosciate0–0
Sondrio1–5
Folgore Caratese1–1Head to Head · 11 matches
Real CalepinaVirtus Ciserano BergamoReal CalepinaVirtus Ciserano BergamoReal CalepinaVirtus Ciserano BergamoReal CalepinaVirtus Ciserano BergamoReal CalepinaVirtus Ciserano BergamoReal Calepina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nibbiano & Valtidone | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 2 |  Chievo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 3 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 |  Caldiero Terme | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 15 |
| 5 | Piacenza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 6 |  Villa Valle | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Milan II | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Virtus Verona | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Real Calepina | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Scanzorosciate | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Pavonese | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Pro Palazzolo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Virtus Ciserano Bergamo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Brusaporto | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Rovato Vertovese | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Milano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |  Fiorenzuola | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tritium | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
Team Insights
Virtus Ciserano- ●Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Virtus Ciserano Bergamo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●80% of Virtus Ciserano Bergamo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Virtus Ciserano Bergamo's points have been earned at home.
Real Calepina- ●Real Calepina have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●69% of Real Calepina's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Real Calepina's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●64% of Real Calepina's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Virtus CiseranoLeon1–2Nibbiano & Valtidone1–4Virtus Verona3–0Club Milano1–1Chievo1–2Pavonese1–1Tritium25/10Real Calepina01/11Milan II08/11Real CalepinaClub Milano2–1Villa Valle0–3Rovato Vertovese1–0Brusaporto2–3Piacenza1–3Caldiero Terme2–2Pavonese25/10Virtus Ciserano Bergamo01/11Chievo08/11Top Scorers
Virtus CiseranoReal Calepina