Bali United vs PSM Makassar — Liga 1
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Bali United and PSM Makassar meet in the Liga 1 2026 season on 4 December 2026. Bali United have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. PSM Makassar have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 83%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.37 for Bali United and 0.93 for PSM Makassar. The models give Bali United a 67% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an PSM Makassar win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Bali United—
PSM Makassar4º
Position
10º
2.00
PPG
1.33
67%
Win %
33%
3.17
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
75%
BTTS %
67%
13%
Clean sheet %
17%
75%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Bali United
Home (4)
—
PSM Makassar
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
33%
4.25
Goals / game
1.00
0.75
Conceded / game
2.33
75%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
0%
100%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Bali United | Home | Away | PSM Makassar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 75% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Bali United | Home | Away | PSM Makassar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bali United | PSM Makassar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 63% | 17% |
| BTTS | 75% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bali United | PSM Makassar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 67% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 88% | 83% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Bali United (H)W
Garudayaksa5–0
Garudayaksa5–0W
Persijap6–1
Persijap6–1W
Isenmulang Kalteng4–1
Isenmulang Kalteng4–1W
PSS Sleman2–1
PSS Sleman2–1W
Bhayangkara FC4–1
Bhayangkara FC4–1L
Pusamania Borneo2–3
Pusamania Borneo2–3PSM Makassar (A)W
PSIM Yogyakarta2–1
PSIM Yogyakarta2–1LPSS Sleman0–3
PSS Sleman0–3L
Persib Bandung1–3
Persib Bandung1–3L
Persepam Madura Utd0–2
Persepam Madura Utd0–2L
Arema FC0–3
Arema FC0–3LBali United0–2
Bali United0–2Head to Head · 16 matches
8
Bali United
50%
4
Draws
25%
4
PSM Makassar
25%
69%
Over 1.5
11/16
38%
Over 2.5
6/16
25%
Over 3.5
4/16
31%
BTTS
5/16
27/04/26PSM Makassar
Bali United
2–0PSM Makassar09/01/26Bali United
PSM Makassar
0–2Bali United25/04/25Bali United
PSM Makassar
0–1Bali United07/12/24PSM Makassar
Bali United
1–1PSM Makassar24/02/24Bali United
PSM Makassar
0–0Bali United11/08/23PSM Makassar
Bali United
3–2PSM Makassar20/01/23PSM Makassar
Bali United
2–2PSM Makassar29/07/22Bali United
PSM Makassar
2–0Bali United07/02/22PSM Makassar
Bali United
2–2PSM Makassar17/10/21Bali United
PSM Makassar
2–1Bali United23/11/19Bali United
PSM Makassar
1–0Bali United01/08/19PSM Makassar
Bali United
1–0PSM Makassar25/11/18Bali United
PSM Makassar
4–0Bali United11/07/18PSM Makassar
Bali United
2–0PSM Makassar06/11/17Bali United
PSM Makassar
0–1Bali United23/07/17PSM Makassar
Bali United
3–0PSM Makassar| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persija | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 |  Dewa United | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 | Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 12 |
| 5 |  Persita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 |  Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Persib Bandung | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Java United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Pusamania Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 |  Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -20 | 34 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 |  Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -43 | 20 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 |  PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -64 | 18 |
| 18 | Persijap | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Bali United- ●Bali United have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Bali United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●85% of Bali United's goals have been scored at home.
- ●92% of Bali United's points have been earned at home.
PSM Makassar- ●PSM Makassar have won their last 2 matches.
- ●PSM Makassar have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of PSM Makassar's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Bali UnitedDAPersita1–1
Persita1–1WHGarudayaksa5–0
Garudayaksa5–0LAJava United2–3
Java United2–3WHPersijap6–1
Persijap6–1LAPusamania Borneo0–1
Pusamania Borneo0–1WHIsenmulang Kalteng4–1
Isenmulang Kalteng4–1–AArema FC31/10
Arema FC31/10–HPersik Kediri08/11
Persik Kediri08/11–APersib Bandung22/11
Persib Bandung22/11PSM MakassarWHPersebaya Surabaya1–0
Persebaya Surabaya1–0WAPSIM Yogyakarta2–1
PSIM Yogyakarta2–1LAPSS Sleman0–3
PSS Sleman0–3DHPersita2–2
Persita2–2DHArema FC3–3
Arema FC3–3LAPersib Bandung1–3
Persib Bandung1–3–ABhayangkara FC26/10
Bhayangkara FC26/10–HPersepam Madura Utd31/10
Persepam Madura Utd31/10–APusamania Borneo07/11
Pusamania Borneo07/11Top Scorers
Bali UnitedT. Yachida4 ⚽
I. Jaya3 ⚽
Queven3 ⚽
J. van der Sande3 ⚽
T. Goppel3 ⚽
M. Dugandzic1 ⚽
PSM MakassarS. Jevtoski3 ⚽
L. Cumic2 ⚽
A. Raehan1 ⚽
F. Aditia1 ⚽
K. Tanaka1 ⚽
Cards Given
Bali United2 🟨
R. Fajrin2 🟨
T. Receveur2 🟨
Queven1 🟨
R. Arjuna1 🟨
R. Balk1 🟨
PSM MakassarS. Jevtoski3 🟨
R. Pratama2 🟨
D. Lagator2 🟨
Ardiansyah1 🟨
M. Hidayat1 🟨
N. Lalic1 🟨