Arema FC vs Persebaya Surabaya — Liga 1
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Arema FC and Persebaya Surabaya meet in the Liga 1 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Arema FC have recorded 3 wins from 11 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Persebaya Surabaya have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Arema FC and 0.98 for Persebaya Surabaya. The models give Arema FC a 45% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Persebaya Surabaya win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Arema FC—
Persebaya Surabaya12º
Position
9º
1.00
PPG
1.50
17%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.00
2.33
Conceded / game
0.83
64%
BTTS %
50%
18%
Clean sheet %
42%
64%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Arema FC
Home (3)
—
Persebaya Surabaya
Away (3)
1.67
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
0.67
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
50%
BTTS %
50%
50%
Clean sheet %
25%
50%
Over 2.5 %
0%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Arema FC | Home | Away | Persebaya Surabaya | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 71% | 92% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 80% | 29% | 25% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 29% | 8% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Arema FC | Home | Away | Persebaya Surabaya | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 40% | 100% | 58% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 20% | 57% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 0% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 60% | 0% | 42% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Arema FC | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 25% |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 17% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 42% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Arema FC | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 75% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Arema FC (H)W
Dewa United4–0
Dewa United4–0D
Bhayangkara FC2–2
Bhayangkara FC2–2D
Persik Kediri1–1
Persik Kediri1–1W
Isenmulang Kalteng4–0
Isenmulang Kalteng4–0W
DPMM FC Brunei2–0
DPMM FC Brunei2–0W
PSIM Yogyakarta3–1
PSIM Yogyakarta3–1Persebaya Surabaya (A)L
PSM Makassar0–1
PSM Makassar0–1WIsenmulang Kalteng1–0
Isenmulang Kalteng1–0DBhayangkara FC1–1
Bhayangkara FC1–1D
Persib Bandung1–1
Persib Bandung1–1W
Semen Padang7–0
Semen Padang7–0D
Persis Solo0–0
Persis Solo0–0Head to Head · 15 matches
2
Arema FC
13%
3
Draws
20%
10
Persebaya Surabaya
67%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
47%
Over 2.5
7/15
47%
Over 3.5
7/15
47%
BTTS
7/15
04/08/26Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC28/04/26Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
0–4Persebaya Surabaya22/11/25Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–1Arema FC28/04/25Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1–1Persebaya Surabaya07/12/24Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
3–2Arema FC27/03/24Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
0–1Persebaya Surabaya23/09/23Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
3–1Arema FC11/04/23Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC01/10/22Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
2–3Persebaya Surabaya23/02/22Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC06/11/21Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
2–2Persebaya Surabaya12/12/19Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
4–1Arema FC15/08/19Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
4–0Persebaya Surabaya06/10/18Persebaya Surabaya
Arema FC
1–0Persebaya Surabaya06/05/18Arema FC
Persebaya Surabaya
1–0Arema FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Persija | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 |
| 2 | Dewa United | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Persepam Madura Utd | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 4 |  Bali United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 12 |
| 5 |  Persita | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 | Bhayangkara FC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Persik Kediri | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | Persib Bandung | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | PSM Makassar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Java United | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Arema FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Pusamania Borneo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Garudayaksa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 |  PSS Sleman | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -20 | 34 |
| 16 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -43 | 20 |
| 17 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
| 18 |  PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -64 | 18 |
| 18 |  Persijap | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Arema FC- ●Arema FC have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Arema FC have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arema FC have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Arema FC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Arema FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Arema FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Arema FC's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Arema FC's points have been earned at home.
- ●Arema FC have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Persebaya Surabaya- ●Persebaya Surabaya have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
Arema FCWHDewa United4–0
Dewa United4–0LAPersija1–5
Persija1–5LAGarudayaksa1–3
Garudayaksa1–3DHBhayangkara FC2–2
Bhayangkara FC2–2DHPersik Kediri1–1
Persik Kediri1–1DAPSM Makassar3–3
PSM Makassar3–3–HBali United31/10
Bali United31/10–APersepam Madura Utd06/11
Persepam Madura Utd06/11–APSS Sleman20/11
PSS Sleman20/11Persebaya SurabayaLAPSM Makassar0–1
PSM Makassar0–1DHPSS Sleman2–2
PSS Sleman2–2WAIsenmulang Kalteng1–0
Isenmulang Kalteng1–0DHGarudayaksa1–1
Garudayaksa1–1WHPSIM Yogyakarta1–0
PSIM Yogyakarta1–0DABhayangkara FC1–1
Bhayangkara FC1–1–HPersepam Madura Utd26/10
Persepam Madura Utd26/10–HPersijap30/10
Persijap30/10–APersija07/11
Persija07/11Top Scorers
Arema FCGustavo Henrique4 ⚽
Careca3 ⚽
Gabriel Silva2 ⚽
MV2 ⚽
Matheus Blade2 ⚽
Samuel Otusanya2 ⚽
Persebaya SurabayaM. Pereira4 ⚽
Alex4 ⚽
Y. Mabella3 ⚽
R. Sananta2 ⚽
Y. Fernandes2 ⚽
R. Mitrevski1 ⚽
Cards Given
Arema FCBetinho4 🟨
MV4 🟨
Matheus Blade3 🟨
A. Dewangga3 🟨
Diego Landis3 🟨
Careca2 🟨
Persebaya SurabayaJefferson4 🟨
R. Irianto4 🟨
T. Firmansyah3 🟨
Y. Fernandes3 🟨
R. Sananta2 🟨
F. Rivera2 🟨