Nottingham Forest U18 vs Derby County U18 — U18 Premier League - North
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Nottingham Forest U18 and Derby County U18 meet in the U18 Premier League - North 2026 season on 30 January 2027. Nottingham Forest U18 have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.50 goals scored and 0.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Derby County U18 have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Nottingham Forest U18 and 1.75 for Derby County U18. The models give Nottingham Forest U18 a 45% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Derby County U18 win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Nottingham Forest U18—
Derby County U184º
Position
6º
2.13
PPG
1.44
63%
Win %
44%
2.50
Goals / game
1.67
0.63
Conceded / game
2.22
38%
BTTS %
78%
50%
Clean sheet %
11%
50%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Nottingham Forest U18
Home (4)
—
Derby County U18
Away (5)
1.75
PPG
2.40
50%
Win %
80%
1.75
Goals / game
2.00
0.75
Conceded / game
1.20
50%
BTTS %
80%
25%
Clean sheet %
20%
50%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 75% | 100% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 25% | 0% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Nottingham Forest | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 75% | 25% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 56% | 100% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 25% | 75% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nottingham Forest | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS | 38% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 78% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nottingham Forest | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 75% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Nottingham Forest (H)W
Leicester City U183–0
Leicester City U183–0D
Manchester United U181–1
Manchester United U181–1L
Middlesbrough U180–1
Middlesbrough U180–1W
Stoke City U183–1
Stoke City U183–1W
Blackburn Rovers U182–1
Blackburn Rovers U182–1L
Manchester City U180–4
Manchester City U180–4Derby County (A)W
Leeds United U182–1
Leeds United U182–1W
Wolves U182–1
Wolves U182–1WStoke City U182–0
Stoke City U182–0WMiddlesbrough U183–1
Middlesbrough U183–1L
Newcastle United U181–3
Newcastle United U181–3LManchester City U183–5
Manchester City U183–5Head to Head · 11 matches
4
Nottingham Forest
36%
1
Draws
9%
6
Derby County
55%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
36%
BTTS
4/11
05/09/26Nottingham Forest U18
Derby County U18
0–2Nottingham Forest U1810/01/26Derby County U18
Nottingham Forest U18
1–2Derby County U1816/08/25Nottingham Forest U18
Derby County U18
0–2Nottingham Forest U1803/05/25Nottingham Forest U18
Derby County U18
3–1Nottingham Forest U1830/11/24Derby County U18
Nottingham Forest U18
0–3Derby County U1816/03/24Nottingham Forest U18
Derby County U18
1–1Nottingham Forest U1823/12/23Derby County U18
Nottingham Forest U18
0–6Derby County U1815/04/23Derby County U18
Nottingham Forest U18
3–0Derby County U1804/10/22Nottingham Forest U18
Derby County U18
0–2Nottingham Forest U1819/02/22Derby County U18
Nottingham Forest U18
0–1Derby County U1808/01/22Nottingham Forest U18
Derby County U18
3–2Nottingham Forest U18| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +23 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +27 | 22 |
| 3 | Newcastle United U18 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest U18 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 17 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough U18 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Derby County U18 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Liverpool U18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 8 |  Burnley U18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Sunderland U18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 10 |
| 10 |  Everton U18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Leeds United U18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Blackburn Rovers U18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -22 | 9 |
| 13 | Stoke City U18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 7 |
| 14 | Leicester City U18 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Wolves U18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Nottingham Forest- ●Nottingham Forest U18 have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest U18 have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest U18 have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Nottingham Forest U18 have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●65% of Nottingham Forest U18's goals have been scored away.
- ●Nottingham Forest U18 have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Derby County- ●Derby County U18 have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Derby County U18's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Derby County U18's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●92% of Derby County U18's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Nottingham ForestWHLeicester City U183–0
Leicester City U183–0WAEverton U181–0
Everton U181–0DHManchester United U181–1
Manchester United U181–1DABurnley U182–2
Burnley U182–2LHMiddlesbrough U180–1
Middlesbrough U180–1WADerby County U182–0
Derby County U182–0–ALiverpool U1803/11
Liverpool U1803/11–HWolves U1821/11
Wolves U1821/11–HManchester City U1812/12
Manchester City U1812/12Derby CountyWALeeds United U182–1
Leeds United U182–1LHManchester City U181–5
Manchester City U181–5WAWolves U182–1
Wolves U182–1DHLiverpool U183–3
Liverpool U183–3WAStoke City U182–0
Stoke City U182–0LHNottingham Forest U180–2
Nottingham Forest U180–2–HEverton U1803/11
Everton U1803/11–AManchester United U1821/11
Manchester United U1821/11–HBlackburn Rovers U1828/11
Blackburn Rovers U1828/11Top Scorers
Nottingham ForestB. Balagizi6 ⚽
K. Bradshaw3 ⚽
S. Samuels2 ⚽
J. Ntege2 ⚽
S. Nolan2 ⚽
B. Bowman1 ⚽
Derby CountyK. Clarke4 ⚽
J. Connor2 ⚽
R. Harvey2 ⚽
T. Olofingbuaro2 ⚽
S. Fearon1 ⚽
M. Nessling1 ⚽
Cards Given
Nottingham ForestJ. Maveso1 🟨
Derby CountyJ. Connor2 🟨