Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18 — U18 Premier League - North
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Burnley U18 and Derby County U18 meet in the U18 Premier League - North 2026 season on 16 January 2027. Burnley U18 have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 90%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Derby County U18 have won 44% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Burnley U18 and 2.17 for Derby County U18. The models give Burnley U18 a 35% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Derby County U18 win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Burnley U18—
Derby County U188º
Position
6º
1.10
PPG
1.44
30%
Win %
44%
1.80
Goals / game
1.67
2.20
Conceded / game
2.22
60%
BTTS %
78%
10%
Clean sheet %
11%
90%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Burnley U18
Home (5)
—
Derby County U18
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
2.40
20%
Win %
80%
1.60
Goals / game
2.00
2.20
Conceded / game
1.20
40%
BTTS %
80%
20%
Clean sheet %
20%
80%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Burnley U18 | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 60% | 80% | 89% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 56% | 25% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 30% | 20% | 40% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 40% | 20% | 11% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Burnley U18 | Home | Away | Derby County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 80% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 56% | 100% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 20% | 40% | 44% | 75% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Burnley U18 | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 70% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS | 60% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 78% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 30% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Burnley U18 | Derby County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 90% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 11% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 70% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Burnley U18 (H)L
Manchester United U180–6
Manchester United U180–6W
Blackburn Rovers U184–0
Blackburn Rovers U184–0D
Nottingham Forest U182–2
Nottingham Forest U182–2D
Sunderland U182–2
Sunderland U182–2L
Stoke City U180–1
Stoke City U180–1W
Leeds United U187–4
Leeds United U187–4Derby County (A)WLeeds United U182–1
Leeds United U182–1W
Wolves U182–1
Wolves U182–1WStoke City U182–0
Stoke City U182–0W
Middlesbrough U183–1
Middlesbrough U183–1L
Newcastle United U181–3
Newcastle United U181–3L
Manchester City U183–5
Manchester City U183–5Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Burnley U18
43%
2
Draws
29%
2
Derby County
29%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
71%
Over 2.5
5/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
100%
BTTS
7/7
22/08/26Burnley U18
Derby County U18
1–4Burnley U1824/04/26Burnley U18
Derby County U18
1–2Burnley U1820/09/25Derby County U18
Burnley U18
1–2Derby County U1807/05/22Burnley U18
Derby County U18
1–2Burnley U1823/10/21Derby County U18
Burnley U18
1–1Derby County U1808/05/21Derby County U18
Burnley U18
1–1Derby County U1813/02/21Burnley U18
Derby County U18
2–1Burnley U18| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +23 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +27 | 22 |
| 3 | Newcastle United U18 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Nottingham Forest U18 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 17 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough U18 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 | Derby County U18 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 |  Liverpool U18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 8 | Burnley U18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Everton U18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Leeds United U18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -8 | 9 |
| 11 | Stoke City U18 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Sunderland U18 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 7 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers U18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -23 | 6 |
| 14 |  Leicester City U18 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Wolves U18 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Burnley U18- ●Burnley U18 have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Burnley U18 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Burnley U18 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Burnley U18 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Burnley U18 failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Burnley U18 have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Derby County- ●Derby County U18 have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Derby County U18's goals have been scored away.
- ●70% of Derby County U18's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●92% of Derby County U18's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby County U18 have scored 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Burnley U18LAManchester City U181–2
Manchester City U181–2LHManchester United U180–6
Manchester United U180–6WHBlackburn Rovers U184–0
Blackburn Rovers U184–0LANewcastle United U180–3
Newcastle United U180–3DHNottingham Forest U182–2
Nottingham Forest U182–2LALiverpool U182–4
Liverpool U182–4–ALeicester City U1821/11
Leicester City U1821/11–HMiddlesbrough U1828/11
Middlesbrough U1828/11–AEverton U1812/12
Everton U1812/12Derby CountyWALeeds United U182–1
Leeds United U182–1LHManchester City U181–5
Manchester City U181–5WAWolves U182–1
Wolves U182–1DHLiverpool U183–3
Liverpool U183–3WAStoke City U182–0
Stoke City U182–0LHNottingham Forest U180–2
Nottingham Forest U180–2–HEverton U1803/11
Everton U1803/11–AManchester United U1821/11
Manchester United U1821/11–HBlackburn Rovers U1828/11
Blackburn Rovers U1828/11Top Scorers
Burnley U18W. Taylor9 ⚽
J. Lewis3 ⚽
B. Borgesson2 ⚽
L. Tambwe2 ⚽
D. Morison1 ⚽
J. Mmakogu1 ⚽
Derby CountyK. Clarke4 ⚽
J. Connor2 ⚽
R. Harvey2 ⚽
T. Olofingbuaro2 ⚽
S. Fearon1 ⚽
M. Nessling1 ⚽
Cards Given
Burnley U18Derby CountyJ. Connor2 🟨