Ermis Exochi vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou — Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
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Ermis Exochi and Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou meet in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2026 season on 2 December 2026. Ermis Exochi have recorded 2 wins from 5 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou have won 55% of their 11 matches, with 2.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 82%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Ermis Exochi and 1.55 for Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou. The models give Ermis Exochi a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Ermis ExochiEthnikos Neou KeramidiouHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Ermis Exochi | Home | Away | Ethnikos Neou | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 82% | 100% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 100% | 0% | 64% | 50% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 100% | 0% | 45% | 25% | 57% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Ermis Exochi | Home | Away | Ethnikos Neou | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 73% | 75% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 33% | 64% | 75% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ermis Exochi | Ethnikos Neou | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 45% |
| BTTS | 100% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 40% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 60% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 27% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ermis Exochi | Ethnikos Neou | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 73% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Ermis Exochi (H)
Iraklis Larissa4–1
Elassona3–1
Alexandreia1–0
Veria2–2
Pierikos1–0
Apollon Pontou0–0Ethnikos Neou (A)
Digenis Neochori5–0
Sarakinos3–1Iraklis Larissa3–0Elassona0–3Elassona3–2Apollon Pontou2–3Head to Head · 3 matches
Ermis ExochiErmis ExochiEthnikos Neou Keramidiou| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trikala | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 3 |  Anthoupoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 4 | Elassona | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ermis Exochi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 8 |
| 6 | Pierikos | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 |
| 7 |  Karitsa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarakinos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 9 |  Feraios | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Digenis Neochori | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -12 | 2 |
| 11 | Iraklis Larissa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Team Insights
Ermis Exochi- ●Ermis Exochi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ermis Exochi have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Ermis Exochi have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●70% of Ermis Exochi's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Ermis Exochi's points have been earned at home.
- ●Ermis Exochi have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Ethnikos Neou- ●Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●92% of Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou's goals have been scored away.
- ●75% of Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Ermis ExochiSarakinos1–1Iraklis Larissa4–1Feraios1–2Elassona3–1Anthoupoli1–1Digenis Neochori07/11Karitsa15/11Pierikos22/11Ethnikos NeouDigenis Neochori5–0Sarakinos3–1Iraklis Larissa3–0Feraios1–0Elassona0–3Karitsa08/11Pierikos15/11Trikala22/11