Le Messager Ngozi vs Aigle Noir — Ligue A
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Le Messager Ngozi and Aigle Noir meet in the Ligue A 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Le Messager Ngozi have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 29% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 71% of games. Aigle Noir have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Le Messager Ngozi and 0.88 for Aigle Noir. The models give Le Messager Ngozi a 42% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Aigle Noir win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Le Messager NgoziAigle NoirHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Aigle Noir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 40% | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Aigle Noir | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 71% | 67% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Messager | Aigle Noir | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 29% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 29% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Messager | Aigle Noir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 100% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Messager (H)
Young Star1–0
Panthere Noir1–0
Muzinga2–1
Inter Star3–0
Royal Vision0–1Aigle Noir2–2Aigle Noir (A)
Rukinzo0–1
Kayanza United1–1
Vital'O2–3
Al Hilal Omdurman0–1
Flambeau du Centre1–1Royal Vision1–2Head to Head · 14 matches
Aigle NoirLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziAigle NoirAigle NoirLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziAigle NoirAigle NoirLe Messager NgoziAigle NoirLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziAigle Noir| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Rukinzo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Olympic Star | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Aigle Noir | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Ngozi City | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Bumamuru | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Musongati | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Vital'O | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Inter Star | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Flambeau du Centre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Never Give Up Academy | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Kayanza United | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Young Star | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Le Messager- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Aigle Noir- ●Aigle Noir have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Aigle Noir failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Aigle Noir have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aigle Noir have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●67% of Aigle Noir's goals have been scored at home.
- ●83% of Aigle Noir's points have been earned at home.
- ●Aigle Noir have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Le MessagerYoung Star1–0Flambeau du Centre1–0Musongati1–3Panthere Noir1–0Never Give Up Academy0–0Muzinga2–1Vital'O30/10Ngozi City04/11Kayanza United08/11Aigle NoirRukinzo0–1Royal Vision1–1Kayanza United1–1Ngozi City2–1Vital'O2–3Young Star2–1Bumamuru31/10Muzinga03/11Never Give Up Academy07/11