Le Messager Ngozi vs Ngozi City — Ligue A
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Le Messager Ngozi and Ngozi City meet in the Ligue A 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Le Messager Ngozi have recorded 4 wins from 6 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 67% of games. Ngozi City have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Le Messager Ngozi and 0.81 for Ngozi City. The models give Le Messager Ngozi a 54% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Ngozi City win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Le Messager NgoziNgozi CityHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Ngozi City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 80% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 38% | 60% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 20% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Le Messager | Home | Away | Ngozi City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 63% | 40% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 71% | 67% | 75% | 38% | 60% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Le Messager | Ngozi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 29% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Le Messager | Ngozi City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 100% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Le Messager (H)
Young Star1–0
Panthere Noir1–0
Muzinga2–1
Inter Star3–0
Royal Vision0–1
Aigle Noir2–2Ngozi City (A)Muzinga0–1Aigle Noir1–2
Vital'O1–2
Olympic Star0–4
Rukinzo2–4
Kayanza United0–0Head to Head · 6 matches
Le Messager NgoziNgozi CityNgozi CityLe Messager NgoziLe Messager NgoziNgozi City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Vision | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Muzinga | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 | Rukinzo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +11 | 14 |
| 4 | Le Messager Ngozi | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Olympic Star | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Aigle Noir | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Ngozi City | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Bumamuru | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Musongati | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Vital'O | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Inter Star | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Flambeau du Centre | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Never Give Up Academy | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 14 | Kayanza United | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Young Star | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -15 | 5 |
| 16 | Panthere Noir | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 1 |
Team Insights
Le Messager- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Le Messager Ngozi have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Ngozi City- ●Ngozi City have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ngozi City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●78% of Ngozi City's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Ngozi City's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Le MessagerYoung Star1–0Flambeau du Centre1–0Musongati1–3Panthere Noir1–0Never Give Up Academy0–0Muzinga2–1Vital'O30/10Ngozi City04/11Kayanza United08/11Ngozi CityMuzinga0–1Bumamuru2–0Royal Vision0–5Aigle Noir1–2Kayanza United1–0Inter Star2–1Never Give Up Academy01/11Le Messager Ngozi04/11Panthere Noir08/11