Excelsior '31 vs DVS 33 Ermelo — Derde Divisie
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Excelsior '31 and DVS 33 Ermelo meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Excelsior '31 have recorded 9 wins from 13 matches this season (69% win rate), averaging 2.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 77%; and clean sheets in 54% of games. DVS 33 Ermelo have won 21% of their 14 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.33 for Excelsior '31 and 1.18 for DVS 33 Ermelo. The models give Excelsior '31 a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an DVS 33 Ermelo win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Excelsior '31—
DVS 33 Ermelo4º
Position
14º
2.00
PPG
0.82
64%
Win %
18%
2.55
Goals / game
1.55
1.18
Conceded / game
2.00
38%
BTTS %
71%
54%
Clean sheet %
0%
77%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Excelsior '31
Home (5)
—
DVS 33 Ermelo
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.40
80%
Win %
0%
3.40
Goals / game
1.40
0.20
Conceded / game
2.00
33%
BTTS %
63%
67%
Clean sheet %
0%
83%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | DVS 33 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 86% | 71% | 83% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 83% | 43% | 36% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 54% | 83% | 29% | 14% | 17% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 14% | 29% | 17% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | DVS 33 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 46% | 33% | 57% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 17% | 57% | 64% | 67% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 17% | 43% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 54% | 67% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Excelsior '31 | DVS 33 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 62% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 14% |
| BTTS | 38% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 46% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Excelsior '31 | DVS 33 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 69% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 15% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 92% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Excelsior '31 (H)W
SC Genemuiden5–0
SC Genemuiden5–0W
Dovo3–0
Dovo3–0W
AFC '344–3
AFC '344–3D
Purmersteijn1–1
Purmersteijn1–1W
SVZW4–0
SVZW4–0W
Eemdijk4–0
Eemdijk4–0DVS 33 (A)L
Staphorst1–2
Staphorst1–2L
Hercules0–1
Hercules0–1L
GVVV Veenendaal0–4
GVVV Veenendaal0–4D
TEC4–4
TEC4–4W
ATC 652–1
ATC 652–1D
ACV1–1
ACV1–1Head to Head · 11 matches
5
Excelsior '31
45%
1
Draws
9%
5
DVS 33
45%
82%
Over 1.5
9/11
73%
Over 2.5
8/11
36%
Over 3.5
4/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
31/01/26Excelsior '31
DVS 33 Ermelo
1–2Excelsior '3106/09/25DVS 33 Ermelo
Excelsior '31
0–1DVS 33 Ermelo15/03/25Excelsior '31
DVS 33 Ermelo
4–0Excelsior '3112/10/24DVS 33 Ermelo
Excelsior '31
1–2DVS 33 Ermelo20/05/23DVS 33 Ermelo
Excelsior '31
4–0DVS 33 Ermelo26/11/22Excelsior '31
DVS 33 Ermelo
1–1Excelsior '3123/04/22DVS 33 Ermelo
Excelsior '31
3–1DVS 33 Ermelo05/03/22Excelsior '31
DVS 33 Ermelo
2–1Excelsior '3112/09/20Excelsior '31
DVS 33 Ermelo
0–1Excelsior '3108/02/20Excelsior '31
DVS 33 Ermelo
0–3Excelsior '3126/10/19DVS 33 Ermelo
Excelsior '31
1–3DVS 33 Ermelo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 |
| 1 |  Harkemase Boys | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 |  FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 |
| 2 | ACV | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 |  Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 |
| 4 | Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 5 | SC Genemuiden | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 |  UDI '19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 6 | TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 6 |  Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  GOES | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Hoogeveen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Eemdijk | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |  Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 |  UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vvsb | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Dovo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 |
| 17 |  Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  EVV | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 | SVZW | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Excelsior '31- ●Excelsior '31 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●92% of Excelsior '31's goals conceded were conceded away.
DVS 33- ●DVS 33 Ermelo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●DVS 33 Ermelo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●DVS 33 Ermelo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●DVS 33 Ermelo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●DVS 33 Ermelo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●DVS 33 Ermelo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●DVS 33 Ermelo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●DVS 33 Ermelo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●78% of DVS 33 Ermelo's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Excelsior '31LAHarkemase Boys0–4
Harkemase Boys0–4WHSC Genemuiden5–0
SC Genemuiden5–0LAADO '201–3
ADO '201–3WASportlust '463–0
Sportlust '463–0WHDovo3–0
Dovo3–0WAHoogeveen2–0
Hoogeveen2–0–HACV07/11
ACV07/11–ASparta Nijkerk14/11
Sparta Nijkerk14/11–HTEC21/11
TEC21/11DVS 33WHSVZW4–3
SVZW4–3LAStaphorst1–2
Staphorst1–2DHEemdijk2–2
Eemdijk2–2LAHercules0–1
Hercules0–1LHSportlust '461–2
Sportlust '461–2WHHollandia2–1
Hollandia2–1–AVV Scherpenzeel07/11
VV Scherpenzeel07/11–HPurmersteijn14/11
Purmersteijn14/11–AHoogeveen21/11
Hoogeveen21/11Top Scorers
Excelsior '31S. Holsink2 ⚽
K. Peppels1 ⚽
M. Schrijver1 ⚽
S. ter Haar1 ⚽
DVS 33Middelkamp1 ⚽
T. Van de Berg1 ⚽
1 ⚽
Cards Given
Excelsior '31DVS 333 🟨