Excelsior Maassluis vs Dongen — Derde Divisie
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Excelsior Maassluis and Dongen meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Excelsior Maassluis have recorded 11 wins from 15 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 2.13 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Dongen have won 42% of their 12 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 2.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.44 for Excelsior Maassluis and 1.13 for Dongen. The models give Excelsior Maassluis a 64% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Dongen win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Excelsior Maassluis—
Dongen3º
Position
8º
2.36
PPG
1.45
73%
Win %
45%
2.00
Goals / game
2.18
0.64
Conceded / game
2.27
47%
BTTS %
58%
47%
Clean sheet %
25%
47%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Excelsior Maassluis
Home (6)
—
Dongen
Away (6)
2.67
PPG
0.67
83%
Win %
17%
2.17
Goals / game
1.33
0.17
Conceded / game
3.33
38%
BTTS %
67%
63%
Clean sheet %
0%
63%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | Dongen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 88% | 86% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 63% | 57% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 47% | 63% | 29% | 42% | 67% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 13% | 14% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | Dongen | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 38% | 71% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 29% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 63% | 29% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Excelsior Maassluis | Dongen | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 92% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 42% |
| BTTS | 47% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 42% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Excelsior Maassluis | Dongen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 58% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 80% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Excelsior Maassluis (H)W
EVV1–0
EVV1–0W
TOGB3–2
TOGB3–2W
Blauw Geel1–0
Blauw Geel1–0W
Roosendaal5–0
Roosendaal5–0D
Noordwijk0–0
Noordwijk0–0W
Groene Ster3–1
Groene Ster3–1Dongen (A)L
FC Lisse0–4
FC Lisse0–4L
UDI '190–4
UDI '190–4D
UNA2–2
UNA2–2LBlauw Geel1–3
Blauw Geel1–3L
Rijnvogels2–5
Rijnvogels2–5WEVV3–2
EVV3–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 |
| 1 |  Harkemase Boys | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 |
| 2 |  ACV | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 |
| 4 |  Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 5 |  SC Genemuiden | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 6 |  TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 6 |  Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 |  Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 | Dongen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  GOES | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 |  ADO '20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Hoogeveen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 12 | TOGB | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 |
| 13 | Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vvsb | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Dovo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Achilles Veen | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 |
| 17 |  Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | EVV | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Excelsior Maassluis- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Excelsior Maassluis's goals conceded were conceded away.
Dongen- ●Dongen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dongen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dongen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dongen have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dongen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dongen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dongen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dongen failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dongen have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Dongen's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Dongen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Dongen's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dongen have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Excelsior MaassluisWHEVV1–0
EVV1–0WAZwaluwen2–0
Zwaluwen2–0WHTOGB3–2
TOGB3–2WAVvsb3–2
Vvsb3–2WHBlauw Geel1–0
Blauw Geel1–0WHRoosendaal5–0
Roosendaal5–0–AGemert07/11
Gemert07/11–HRijnvogels14/11
Rijnvogels14/11–AGOES21/11
GOES21/11DongenLAFC Lisse0–4
FC Lisse0–4WHGroene Ster3–0
Groene Ster3–0LAUDI '190–4
UDI '190–4WHPoortugaal4–0
Poortugaal4–0DAUNA2–2
UNA2–2LABlauw Geel1–3
Blauw Geel1–3–HNoordwijk07/11
Noordwijk07/11–AAchilles Veen14/11
Achilles Veen14/11–HRoosendaal22/11
Roosendaal22/11Top Scorers
Excelsior Maassluis11 ⚽
M. Tahiri1 ⚽
DongenN. Haddouchi1 ⚽
T. de Leeuw1 ⚽