Sparta Nijkerk vs Excelsior '31 — Derde Divisie
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Sparta Nijkerk and Excelsior '31 meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Sparta Nijkerk have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 2.23 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Excelsior '31 have won 69% of their 13 matches, with 2.54 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 77%, and clean sheets at 54%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.08 for Sparta Nijkerk and 1.87 for Excelsior '31. The models give Sparta Nijkerk a 45% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Excelsior '31 win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sparta Nijkerk | Home | Away | Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 88% | 80% | 92% | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 69% | 75% | 60% | 62% | 83% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 46% | 50% | 40% | 54% | 83% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 13% | 20% | 8% | 0% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Sparta Nijkerk | Home | Away | Excelsior '31 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 75% | 60% | 46% | 33% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 63% | 40% | 38% | 17% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 31% | 25% | 40% | 31% | 17% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 25% | 40% | 54% | 67% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sparta Nijkerk | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 23% |
| BTTS | 54% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 46% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sparta Nijkerk | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 69% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 15% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 85% | 92% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 62% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 | |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Sparta Nijkerk failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Sparta Nijkerk have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Sparta Nijkerk's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Excelsior '31 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Excelsior '31 have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●92% of Excelsior '31's goals conceded were conceded away.