Zwaluwen vs Blauw Geel — Derde Divisie
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Zwaluwen and Blauw Geel meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Zwaluwen have recorded 7 wins from 13 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.69 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Blauw Geel have won 25% of their 12 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Zwaluwen and 1.25 for Blauw Geel. The models give Zwaluwen a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Blauw Geel win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Zwaluwen | Home | Away | Blauw Geel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 67% | 71% | 75% | 80% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 0% | 57% | 42% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 0% | 43% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 33% | 29% | 25% | 20% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Zwaluwen | Home | Away | Blauw Geel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 50% | 86% | 83% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 17% | 57% | 50% | 40% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 20% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 50% | 14% | 17% | 20% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Zwaluwen | Blauw Geel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 8% |
| BTTS | 38% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Zwaluwen | Blauw Geel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 55% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 27% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 | |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Zwaluwen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Zwaluwen have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Zwaluwen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Zwaluwen have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Zwaluwen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Zwaluwen failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Zwaluwen have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of Zwaluwen's goals have been scored away.
- ●81% of Zwaluwen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Blauw Geel have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Blauw Geel failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Blauw Geel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Blauw Geel have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Blauw Geel have scored 71% of their goals in the first half.