Gemert vs Excelsior Maassluis — Derde Divisie
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Gemert and Excelsior Maassluis meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Gemert have recorded 5 wins from 13 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Excelsior Maassluis have won 73% of their 15 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Gemert and 1.51 for Excelsior Maassluis. The models give Gemert a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Excelsior Maassluis win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Gemert—
Excelsior Maassluis10º
Position
3º
1.30
PPG
2.36
30%
Win %
73%
1.40
Goals / game
2.00
1.70
Conceded / game
0.64
62%
BTTS %
47%
23%
Clean sheet %
47%
54%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Gemert
Home (5)
—
Excelsior Maassluis
Away (5)
1.20
PPG
2.00
20%
Win %
60%
1.20
Goals / game
1.80
1.20
Conceded / game
1.20
67%
BTTS %
57%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
17%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Gemert | Home | Away | Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 83% | 86% | 87% | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 62% | 33% | 86% | 60% | 63% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 14% | 47% | 63% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 17% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Gemert | Home | Away | Excelsior Maassluis | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 83% | 71% | 53% | 38% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 43% | 27% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 17% | 29% | 47% | 63% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gemert | Excelsior Maassluis | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 33% |
| BTTS | 62% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gemert | Excelsior Maassluis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 54% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 54% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Gemert (H)W
Achilles Veen2–0
Achilles Veen2–0L
FC Lisse0–2
FC Lisse0–2D
UDI '191–1
UDI '191–1D
UNA1–1
UNA1–1D
GOES2–2
GOES2–2D
Helmond Sport1–1
Helmond Sport1–1Excelsior Maassluis (A)W
Zwaluwen2–0
Zwaluwen2–0W
Vvsb3–2
Vvsb3–2W
Sportlust '462–0
Sportlust '462–0WAchilles Veen3–2
Achilles Veen3–2D
ADO '201–1
ADO '201–1LFC Lisse0–1
FC Lisse0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Noordwijk | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 |
| 1 |  Harkemase Boys | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 |
| 2 |  ACV | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 |
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 |
| 3 |  VV Scherpenzeel | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 |
| 4 |  Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 |
| 4 |  Excelsior '31 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 5 |  SC Genemuiden | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 |
| 6 |  TEC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 |  Poortugaal | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Purmersteijn | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 |  Dongen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 |  Sparta Nijkerk | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | GOES | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 |
| 10 | ADO '20 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Gemert | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Hoogeveen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |  Blauw Geel | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Hercules | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 12 |  TOGB | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 |  Eemdijk | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 |
| 13 |  Roosendaal | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 |  DVS 33 Ermelo | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 14 |  Groene Ster | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 |  Staphorst | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 15 | UNA | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 16 | Vvsb | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Dovo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 |
| 17 |  Hollandia | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  EVV | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 |
| 18 |  SVZW | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
Gemert- ●Gemert failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Gemert failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Gemert failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●65% of Gemert's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Gemert have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Excelsior Maassluis- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 7 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Excelsior Maassluis have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Excelsior Maassluis's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
GemertWHAchilles Veen2–0
Achilles Veen2–0LANoordwijk0–4
Noordwijk0–4LHFC Lisse0–2
FC Lisse0–2WAGroene Ster2–1
Groene Ster2–1DHUDI '191–1
UDI '191–1WAPoortugaal2–1
Poortugaal2–1–ARoosendaal24/10
Roosendaal24/10–HExcelsior Maassluis07/11
Excelsior Maassluis07/11–AVvsb14/11
Vvsb14/11Excelsior MaassluisWHEVV1–0
EVV1–0WAZwaluwen2–0
Zwaluwen2–0WHTOGB3–2
TOGB3–2WAVvsb3–2
Vvsb3–2WHBlauw Geel1–0
Blauw Geel1–0WHRoosendaal5–0
Roosendaal5–0–AGemert07/11
Gemert07/11–HRijnvogels14/11
Rijnvogels14/11–AGOES21/11
GOES21/11Top Scorers
GemertD. van Diepen2 ⚽
M. Bolhuis1 ⚽
R. Kemper1 ⚽
Excelsior Maassluis11 ⚽
M. Tahiri1 ⚽