Dongen vs Noordwijk — Derde Divisie
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Dongen and Noordwijk meet in the Derde Divisie 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Dongen have recorded 5 wins from 12 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.17 goals scored and 2.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 100%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Noordwijk have won 79% of their 14 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 21%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 79%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Dongen and 1.66 for Noordwijk. The models give Dongen a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Noordwijk win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Dongen | Home | Away | Noordwijk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 67% | 93% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 64% | 63% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 42% | 67% | 17% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Dongen | Home | Away | Noordwijk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 79% | 63% | 100% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dongen | Noordwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 92% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 42% | 14% |
| BTTS | 58% | 21% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 42% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dongen | Noordwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 69% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 77% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 8% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 15% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +21 | 28 | |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +18 | 28 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +16 | 24 | |
| 3 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 26 | |
| 3 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +16 | 23 | |
| 4 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +15 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 22 | |
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +10 | 20 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 19 | |
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 8 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | -1 | 16 | |
| 9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | |
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -1 | 13 | |
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | |
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -7 | 13 | |
| 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 10 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 10 | |
| 14 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 9 | |
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | |
| 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 | |
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 6 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -13 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -20 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Dongen have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dongen have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Dongen have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dongen have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Dongen failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dongen have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dongen have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dongen failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dongen have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Dongen's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Dongen's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Dongen's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dongen have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Noordwijk have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Noordwijk have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Noordwijk have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Noordwijk have won 4 of their 5 away matches.

