Illescas vs Marchamalo — Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
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Illescas and Marchamalo meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Illescas have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Marchamalo have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Illescas and 0.96 for Marchamalo. The models give Illescas a 49% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Marchamalo win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Illescas—
Marchamalo9º
Position
11º
1.56
PPG
1.33
44%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.78
1.33
Conceded / game
1.78
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
50%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Illescas
Home (4)
—
Marchamalo
Away (4)
1.75
PPG
0.75
50%
Win %
25%
0.75
Goals / game
1.50
0.25
Conceded / game
2.25
29%
BTTS %
60%
43%
Clean sheet %
40%
0%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Illescas | Home | Away | Marchamalo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 57% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 14% | 60% | 58% | 71% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 0% | 20% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Illescas | Home | Away | Marchamalo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 57% | 80% | 50% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 60% | 50% | 43% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 14% | 60% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 43% | 20% | 50% | 57% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Illescas | Marchamalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Illescas | Marchamalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 82% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Illescas (H)L
Huracán Balazote0–1
Huracán Balazote0–1W
La Solana1–0
La Solana1–0W
Villarrubia2–0
Villarrubia2–0D
Socuéllamos0–0
Socuéllamos0–0L
Pozuelo Alarcón0–1
Pozuelo Alarcón0–1D
SS Reyes II1–1
SS Reyes II1–1Marchamalo (A)L
San Clemente1–3
San Clemente1–3L
Almansa1–3
Almansa1–3L
Manchego2–3
Manchego2–3WHuracán Balazote2–0
Huracán Balazote2–0WPozuelo Alarcón1–0
Pozuelo Alarcón1–0L
Sonseca0–1
Sonseca0–1Head to Head · 6 matches
4
Illescas
67%
1
Draws
17%
1
Marchamalo
17%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
15/03/26Marchamalo
Illescas
2–1Marchamalo02/11/25Illescas
Marchamalo
0–1Illescas15/01/23Marchamalo
Illescas
5–1Marchamalo11/09/22Illescas
Marchamalo
2–3Illescas24/01/21Illescas
Marchamalo
2–0Illescas01/11/20Marchamalo
Illescas
0–0Marchamalo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Toledo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Villacañas | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Villarrobledo | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |  Tarancón | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  CD Villa | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Torrijos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 8 |  Noblejas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Illescas | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Almansa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Marchamalo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 14 | La Solana | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Socuéllamos | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Huracán Balazote | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |  Quintanar del Rey | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Guadalajara II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 2 |
Team Insights
Illescas- ●Illescas have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Illescas have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Illescas have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Illescas have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Illescas failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Illescas have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Illescas's goals have been scored away.
- ●92% of Illescas's goals conceded were conceded away.
Marchamalo- ●Marchamalo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Marchamalo have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Marchamalo have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Marchamalo have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Marchamalo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Marchamalo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●63% of Marchamalo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Marchamalo's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
IllescasLAManchego1–4
Manchego1–4LHHuracán Balazote0–1
Huracán Balazote0–1LAVillacañas3–4
Villacañas3–4WHLa Solana1–0
La Solana1–0WANoblejas2–1
Noblejas2–1WHVillarrubia2–0
Villarrubia2–0–HAlmansa08/11
Almansa08/11–ASan Clemente15/11
San Clemente15/11–HToledo22/11
Toledo22/11MarchamaloDHQuintanar del Rey3–3
Quintanar del Rey3–3LASan Clemente1–3
San Clemente1–3WHSocuéllamos1–0
Socuéllamos1–0LAAlmansa1–3
Almansa1–3DHTarancón2–2
Tarancón2–2LAManchego2–3
Manchego2–3–AToledo08/11
Toledo08/11–HVillarrubia15/11
Villarrubia15/11–AVillarrobledo22/11
Villarrobledo22/11Top Scorers
IllescasA. Ramos Moreno5 ⚽
I. Sanchez2 ⚽
Nacho Rodriguez2 ⚽
Pepe Delgado2 ⚽
D. Moreno1 ⚽
D. Segovia1 ⚽
MarchamaloGabri Salazar6 ⚽
Javi4 ⚽
4 ⚽
A. Rubio2 ⚽
Cheki2 ⚽
S. Lagreca1 ⚽
Cards Given
IllescasM. Martin2 🟨
MarchamaloD. Leton1 🟨
Prieto Juan1 🟨
1 🟨