Toledo vs Villarrobledo — Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
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Toledo and Villarrobledo meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Toledo have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Villarrobledo have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 0.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 14%, and clean sheets at 71%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Toledo and 1.06 for Villarrobledo. The models give Toledo a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Villarrobledo win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
ToledoVillarrobledoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Toledo | Home | Away | Villarrobledo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Toledo | Home | Away | Villarrobledo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Toledo | Villarrobledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 13% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 63% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 0% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Toledo | Villarrobledo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 63% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 13% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Toledo (H)
Almansa2–0
Huracán Balazote3–1
La Solana4–0
Villarrubia1–1
Albacete II0–1
Calvo Sotelo0–2Villarrobledo (A)Huracán Balazote1–1La Solana1–0Villarrubia4–0
Socuéllamos0–0
Villacañas0–0
Manchego0–1Head to Head · 8 matches
ToledoVillarrobledoToledoVillarrobledoVillarrobledoToledoVillarrobledoToledo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 2 |  Torrijos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Tarancón | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Illescas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Toledo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 | Villarrobledo | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Noblejas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  CD Villa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Almansa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 |  Marchamalo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  San Clemente | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | La Solana | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Quintanar del Rey | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Socuéllamos | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Guadalajara II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Toledo- ●Toledo have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Toledo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●75% of Toledo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Villarrobledo- ●Villarrobledo have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Villarrobledo have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Villarrobledo have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Villarrobledo have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Villarrobledo have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
ToledoAlmansa2–0Manchego0–1Huracán Balazote3–1Villacañas2–1La Solana4–0Noblejas1–2San Clemente31/10Marchamalo08/11Villarrobledo15/11VillarrobledoManchego1–0Huracán Balazote1–1Villacañas0–0La Solana1–0Noblejas2–0Villarrubia4–0Almansa31/10San Clemente08/11Toledo15/11Top Scorers
ToledoVillarrobledo