Marchamalo vs Villarrubia — Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
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Marchamalo and Villarrubia meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Marchamalo have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Villarrubia have won 13% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Marchamalo and 0.98 for Villarrubia. The models give Marchamalo a 47% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Villarrubia win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
MarchamaloVillarrubiaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marchamalo | Home | Away | Villarrubia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Marchamalo | Home | Away | Villarrubia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 50% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 50% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marchamalo | Villarrubia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 50% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 13% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marchamalo | Villarrubia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Marchamalo (H)
Socuéllamos1–0
Tarancón2–2
Guadalajara II2–2
CD Villa2–0
Unión Adarve2–0
Guadalajara1–0Villarrubia (A)Tarancón1–1CD Villa1–2
Illescas0–2
Toledo1–1Guadalajara II0–2
Azuqueca2–2Head to Head · 8 matches
MarchamaloVillarrubiaMarchamaloVillarrubiaVillarrubiaMarchamaloMarchamaloVillarrubia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchego | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 2 |  Torrijos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 | Tarancón | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Illescas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Toledo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Villarrobledo | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Noblejas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | CD Villa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Almansa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 |  Villacañas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | Marchamalo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  San Clemente | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  La Solana | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Quintanar del Rey | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Socuéllamos | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Guadalajara II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 18 |  Huracán Balazote | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Marchamalo- ●Marchamalo have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Marchamalo have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Marchamalo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Marchamalo have lost their last 2 away matches.
Villarrubia- ●67% of Villarrubia's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Villarrubia have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MarchamaloSocuéllamos1–0Almansa1–3Tarancón2–2Manchego2–3Guadalajara II2–2Huracán Balazote2–0Quintanar del Rey31/10Toledo08/11Villarrubia15/11VillarrubiaTarancón1–1Guadalajara II4–0CD Villa1–2Torrijos1–1Illescas0–2Villarrobledo0–4Socuéllamos01/11Quintanar del Rey08/11Marchamalo15/11Top Scorers
MarchamaloVillarrubiaCards Given
MarchamaloVillarrubia