Toledo vs Marchamalo — Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
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Toledo and Marchamalo meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Toledo have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Marchamalo have won 60% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.87 for Toledo and 1.10 for Marchamalo. The models give Toledo a 58% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Marchamalo win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
ToledoMarchamaloHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Toledo | Home | Away | Marchamalo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 43% | 67% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Toledo | Home | Away | Marchamalo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 67% | 100% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 33% | 0% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Toledo | Marchamalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 10% |
| BTTS | 71% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Toledo | Marchamalo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Toledo (H)
Huracán Balazote3–1
La Solana4–0
Villarrubia1–1
Albacete II0–1
Calvo Sotelo0–2
Villacañas4–0Marchamalo (A)
Almansa1–3
Manchego2–3Huracán Balazote2–0
Pozuelo Alarcón1–0
Sonseca0–1Villarrubia2–2Head to Head · 12 matches
ToledoMarchamaloToledoMarchamaloToledoMarchamaloToledoMarchamaloToledoMarchamaloMarchamaloToledo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 2 |  Torrijos | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Tarancón | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Illescas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Toledo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 |  Villarrobledo | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Noblejas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  CD Villa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Almansa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 | Villacañas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | Marchamalo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 12 |  San Clemente | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Villarrubia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | La Solana | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Quintanar del Rey | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 |  Socuéllamos | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Guadalajara II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracán Balazote | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Toledo- ●Toledo have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●75% of Toledo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Marchamalo- ●Marchamalo have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Marchamalo have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Marchamalo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Marchamalo have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
ToledoManchego0–1Huracán Balazote3–1Villacañas2–1La Solana4–0Noblejas1–2Villarrubia1–1Almansa25/10San Clemente31/10Marchamalo08/11MarchamaloSocuéllamos1–0Almansa1–3Tarancón2–2Manchego2–3Guadalajara II2–2Huracán Balazote2–0Quintanar del Rey31/10Toledo08/11Villarrubia15/11Top Scorers
ToledoMarchamaloCards Given
ToledoMarchamalo