Alfaro vs River Ebro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Alfaro and River Ebro meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Alfaro have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. River Ebro have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Alfaro and 0.95 for River Ebro. The models give Alfaro a 61% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an River Ebro win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alfaro | Home | Away | River Ebro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Alfaro | Home | Away | River Ebro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 75% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 71% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alfaro | River Ebro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 71% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 43% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alfaro | River Ebro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 71% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 71% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 5 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 12 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Alfaro have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Alfaro have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●River Ebro have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●River Ebro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●65% of River Ebro's goals conceded were conceded away.