Berceo vs Alfaro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Berceo and Alfaro meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Berceo have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Alfaro have won 71% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.17 for Berceo and 1.16 for Alfaro. The models give Berceo a 53% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Alfaro win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Berceo
AlfaroHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Berceo | Home | Away | Alfaro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 71% | 100% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Berceo | Home | Away | Alfaro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 67% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 33% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Berceo | Alfaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 71% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Berceo | Alfaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 71% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Berceo (H)
La Calzada5–1
San Marcial2–1
River Ebro7–0
Yagüe2–0
UD Logroñés II1–2
Pradejón4–1Alfaro (A)
Casalarreina1–0
Anguiano2–1
Calasancio2–2
Real Unión0–2
Tudelano1–3
Basconia4–6Head to Head · 8 matches
BerceoAlfaroBerceoAlfaroBerceoAlfaroAlfaroBerceo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Haro Deportivo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Alfaro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 | Berceo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 15 |
| 4 | La Calzada | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Pradejón | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Varea | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Calahorra | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | San Marcial | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 | Anguiano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 |  Oyonesa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 |  Comillas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Yagüe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 |  Cenicero | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Calasancio | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 |  Vianés | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | River Ebro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Casalarreina | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
Berceo- ●Berceo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Berceo have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●74% of Berceo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Berceo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Alfaro- ●Alfaro have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Alfaro have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Alfaro have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Alfaro have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BerceoOyonesa0–2La Calzada5–1Pradejón2–1San Marcial2–1Cenicero1–2River Ebro7–0Agoncillo25/10Calasancio31/10Alfaro08/11AlfaroVianés1–0Casalarreina1–0Calahorra2–1Anguiano2–1Haro Deportivo1–2Yagüe2–1Comillas01/11Berceo08/11River Ebro15/11Top Scorers
BerceoAlfaroCards Given
BerceoAlfaro