La Calzada vs San Marcial — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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La Calzada and San Marcial meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 1 November 2026. La Calzada have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. San Marcial have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.71 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for La Calzada and 1.30 for San Marcial. The models give La Calzada a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an San Marcial win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
La CalzadaSan MarcialHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| La Calzada | Home | Away | San Marcial | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 83% | 67% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 17% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 17% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| La Calzada | Home | Away | San Marcial | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 83% | 67% | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 33% | 33% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 17% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| La Calzada | San Marcial | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS | 56% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| La Calzada | San Marcial | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 43% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
La Calzada (H)
River Ebro2–1
Comillas1–0
Vianés3–2
Calahorra2–1
Mirandes0–1
San Ignacio1–4San Marcial (A)
Yagüe3–0
Cenicero3–1
Berceo1–2
Varea0–0
Haro Deportivo0–0
Villegas2–2Head to Head · 2 matches
La CalzadaSan Marcial| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 |  Alfaro | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 3 | Berceo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 15 |
| 4 | La Calzada | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 |  Pradejón | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Varea | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Calahorra | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | San Marcial | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Anguiano | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 10 |  Oyonesa | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Agoncillo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 12 | Comillas | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Yagüe | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Cenicero | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 |  Calasancio | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 |
| 16 | Vianés | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | River Ebro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 |  Casalarreina | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
La Calzada- ●La Calzada have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of La Calzada's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of La Calzada's points have been earned at home.
San Marcial- ●San Marcial have won their last 2 matches.
- ●San Marcial have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●San Marcial have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●San Marcial have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●70% of San Marcial's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
La CalzadaRiver Ebro2–1Berceo1–5Comillas1–0Varea0–1Vianés3–2Casalarreina3–0San Marcial01/11Pradejón08/11Yagüe15/11San MarcialYagüe3–0Cenicero3–1River Ebro1–1Berceo1–2Comillas1–1Varea0–0La Calzada01/11Oyonesa08/11Agoncillo15/11Top Scorers
La CalzadaSan Marcial