Cenicero vs La Calzada — Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
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Cenicero and La Calzada meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Cenicero have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. La Calzada have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.69 for Cenicero and 1.32 for La Calzada. The models give Cenicero a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an La Calzada win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cenicero | Home | Away | La Calzada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 100% | 50% | 78% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 0% | 50% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Cenicero | Home | Away | La Calzada | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cenicero | La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS | 71% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cenicero | La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 2 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 15 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 12 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 12 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 6 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Cenicero have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cenicero have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Cenicero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Cenicero have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cenicero have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●La Calzada have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●La Calzada have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of La Calzada's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of La Calzada's points have been earned at home.