Moralo vs Llerenense — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Moralo and Llerenense meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Moralo have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.88 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 88% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Llerenense have won 75% of their 8 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 25%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 75%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Moralo and 0.96 for Llerenense. The models give Moralo a 50% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Llerenense win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
MoraloLlerenenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Moralo | Home | Away | Llerenense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Moralo | Home | Away | Llerenense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Moralo | Llerenense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 88% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Moralo | Llerenense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 75% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Moralo (H)
Castuera2–1
Gévora1–1
CD Zafra2–0
Villanovense2–1
Badajoz0–2
Azuaga0–0Llerenense (A)Castuera0–0Gévora2–1CD Zafra0–0Villanovense1–0
Puebla Calzada1–4
Montehermoso2–2Head to Head · 10 matches
LlerenenseMoraloMoraloLlerenenseLlerenenseMoraloLlerenenseMoraloMoraloLlerenense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llerenense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Azuaga | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Castuera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Jerez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | CD Zafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Cabeza Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Puebla Calzada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Montijo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Quintana | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Moralo- ●Moralo have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Moralo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Moralo have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Moralo have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Moralo have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Moralo have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Moralo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Moralo have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Llerenense- ●Llerenense have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Llerenense have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Llerenense have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Llerenense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Llerenense have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of Llerenense's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
MoraloPlasencia1–1Castuera2–1Puebla Calzada3–1Gévora1–1Santa Amalia1–1CD Zafra2–0Quintana01/11Atlético Pueblonuevo08/11Jerez15/11LlerenenseCastuera0–0Santa Amalia3–0Puebla Calzada2–1Gévora2–1CD Zafra0–0Jaraíz1–0Plasencia01/11Quintana08/11Atlético Pueblonuevo15/11Top Scorers
MoraloLlerenense