Llerenense vs Atlético Pueblonuevo — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Llerenense and Atlético Pueblonuevo meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Llerenense have recorded 6 wins from 8 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 25% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 75% of games. Atlético Pueblonuevo have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 2.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.02 for Llerenense and 0.83 for Atlético Pueblonuevo. The models give Llerenense a 65% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Atlético Pueblonuevo win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Llerenense—
Atlético Pueblonuevo1º
Position
17º
2.71
PPG
0.43
86%
Win %
0%
1.43
Goals / game
1.14
0.29
Conceded / game
2.71
25%
BTTS %
75%
75%
Clean sheet %
13%
38%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Llerenense
Home (4)
—
Atlético Pueblonuevo
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
0.40
100%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
1.00
0.25
Conceded / game
3.00
25%
BTTS %
83%
75%
Clean sheet %
0%
50%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Llerenense | Home | Away | Atlético Pueblonuevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Llerenense | Home | Away | Atlético Pueblonuevo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 88% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 75% | 50% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63% | 50% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 75% | 75% | 75% | 13% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Llerenense | Atlético Pueblonuevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 50% |
| BTTS | 25% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 63% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Llerenense | Atlético Pueblonuevo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 75% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 63% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 25% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Llerenense (H)W
Santa Amalia3–0
Santa Amalia3–0W
Puebla Calzada2–1
Puebla Calzada2–1W
Jaraíz1–0
Jaraíz1–0W
Guadiana1–0
Guadiana1–0W
Calamonte3–1
Calamonte3–1DJaraíz1–1
Jaraíz1–1Atlético Pueblonuevo (A)L
Quintana1–4
Quintana1–4L
Castuera0–5
Castuera0–5L
Gévora1–3
Gévora1–3DSanta Amalia1–1
Santa Amalia1–1L
CD Zafra1–4
CD Zafra1–4DJaraíz2–2
Jaraíz2–2Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Llerenense
50%
2
Draws
33%
1
Atlético Pueblonuevo
17%
100%
Over 1.5
6/6
33%
Over 2.5
2/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
15/03/26Llerenense
Atlético Pueblonuevo
2–0Llerenense01/11/25Atlético Pueblonuevo
Llerenense
2–0Atlético Pueblonuevo09/03/25Llerenense
Atlético Pueblonuevo
1–1Llerenense27/10/24Atlético Pueblonuevo
Llerenense
2–1Atlético Pueblonuevo01/04/23Atlético Pueblonuevo
Llerenense
3–3Atlético Pueblonuevo04/12/22Llerenense
Atlético Pueblonuevo
0–2Llerenense| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llerenense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  Azuaga | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Castuera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 |  Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Jerez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | CD Zafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Cabeza Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Puebla Calzada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Montijo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Quintana | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Llerenense- ●Llerenense have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Llerenense have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Llerenense have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Llerenense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Llerenense have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of Llerenense's goals have been scored at home.
Atlético Pueblonuevo- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Atlético Pueblonuevo have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Atlético Pueblonuevo's goals have been scored away.
- ●83% of Atlético Pueblonuevo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
LlerenenseDACastuera0–0
Castuera0–0WHSanta Amalia3–0
Santa Amalia3–0WHPuebla Calzada2–1
Puebla Calzada2–1WAGévora2–1
Gévora2–1DACD Zafra0–0
CD Zafra0–0WHJaraíz1–0
Jaraíz1–0–HPlasencia01/11
Plasencia01/11–AQuintana08/11
Quintana08/11–HAtlético Pueblonuevo15/11
Atlético Pueblonuevo15/11Atlético PueblonuevoLAQuintana1–4
Quintana1–4LHPlasencia3–4
Plasencia3–4LACastuera0–5
Castuera0–5DHPuebla Calzada0–0
Puebla Calzada0–0LAGévora1–3
Gévora1–3DASanta Amalia1–1
Santa Amalia1–1–AJerez01/11
Jerez01/11–HMoralo08/11
Moralo08/11–ALlerenense15/11
Llerenense15/11Top Scorers
LlerenenseS. Peredo5 ⚽
G. Peguero2 ⚽
M. Barroso Zurita1 ⚽
T. Marr1 ⚽
Atlético Pueblonuevo3 ⚽
M. Lozano2 ⚽
G. G. Rodriguez1 ⚽
I. Sandez Saez1 ⚽
J. Gonzalez1 ⚽
M. Doncel1 ⚽