Cabeza Buey vs Castuera — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Cabeza Buey and Castuera meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Cabeza Buey have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Castuera have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Cabeza Buey and 1.07 for Castuera. The models give Cabeza Buey a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Castuera win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 49%.