Puebla Calzada vs Cabeza Buey — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Puebla Calzada and Cabeza Buey meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Puebla Calzada have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Cabeza Buey have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Puebla Calzada and 1.29 for Cabeza Buey. The models give Puebla Calzada a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Cabeza Buey win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Puebla CalzadaCabeza BueyHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Puebla Calzada | Home | Away | Cabeza Buey | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Puebla Calzada | Home | Away | Cabeza Buey | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Puebla Calzada | Cabeza Buey | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 63% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Puebla Calzada | Cabeza Buey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 88% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Puebla Calzada (H)
Villafranca2–1
Moralo1–3
Quintana1–2
Castuera2–0
Llerenense4–1
Atlético Pueblonuevo3–1Cabeza Buey (A)
Santa Amalia3–3
Jaraíz0–0
Guadiana1–1
Montijo3–1Jaraíz1–2
Villanovense2–3Head to Head · 2 matches
Puebla CalzadaCabeza Buey| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llerenense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  Azuaga | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Castuera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Jerez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |  CD Zafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 | Cabeza Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Puebla Calzada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Montijo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Quintana | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Puebla Calzada- ●Puebla Calzada have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Cabeza Buey- ●Cabeza Buey have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Cabeza Buey have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●64% of Cabeza Buey's goals have been scored away.
- ●60% of Cabeza Buey's points have been earned away.
- ●Cabeza Buey have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Puebla CalzadaVillafranca2–1Llerenense1–2Moralo1–3Atlético Pueblonuevo0–0Quintana1–2Plasencia3–0Montijo01/11Cabeza Buey08/11Azuaga15/11Cabeza BueySanta Amalia3–3CD Zafra2–1Jaraíz0–0Villanovense1–1Guadiana1–1Azuaga1–2Gévora01/11Puebla Calzada08/11Castuera15/11Top Scorers
Puebla CalzadaCabeza BueyCards Given
Puebla CalzadaCabeza Buey