Villafranca vs Castuera — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Villafranca and Castuera meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Villafranca have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Castuera have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Villafranca and 1.27 for Castuera. The models give Villafranca a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Castuera win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
VillafrancaCastueraHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Villafranca | Home | Away | Castuera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 75% | 100% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 50% | 67% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 33% | 29% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Villafranca | Home | Away | Castuera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 100% | 67% | 57% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 0% | 33% | 43% | 100% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Villafranca | Castuera | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS | 71% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Villafranca | Castuera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 14% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Villafranca (H)
CD Zafra2–2
Gévora2–1
Villanovense0–1
Azuaga1–4
Jerez2–1
Don Benito1–0Castuera (A)
Quintana1–1
Moralo1–2Jerez2–1
Puebla Calzada0–2
Badajoz0–1
Atlético Pueblonuevo2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
VillafrancaCastueraVillafrancaCastuera| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Llerenense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 | Azuaga | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Castuera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Jerez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | CD Zafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Cabeza Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Puebla Calzada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Montijo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Quintana | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Villafranca- ●Villafranca have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Villafranca failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Villafranca have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●73% of Villafranca's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Villafranca's points have been earned away.
Castuera- ●Castuera have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Castuera have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Castuera have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●73% of Castuera's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
VillafrancaCD Zafra2–2Gévora2–1Santa Amalia3–1Jaraíz1–2Villanovense0–1Guadiana2–0Puebla Calzada25/10Castuera01/11Plasencia08/11CastueraQuintana1–1Moralo1–2Atlético Pueblonuevo5–0Plasencia1–0Jerez2–1Puebla Calzada0–2Villafranca01/11Montijo08/11Cabeza Buey15/11Top Scorers
VillafrancaCastueraCards Given
VillafrancaCastuera