Santa Amalia vs Cabeza Buey — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Santa Amalia and Cabeza Buey meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Santa Amalia have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Cabeza Buey have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Santa Amalia and 1.21 for Cabeza Buey. The models give Santa Amalia a 33% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Cabeza Buey win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Santa AmaliaCabeza BueyHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Santa Amalia | Home | Away | Cabeza Buey | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 0% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 0% | 100% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Santa Amalia | Home | Away | Cabeza Buey | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 75% | 33% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 25% | 67% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 43% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Santa Amalia (H)
Villafranca1–3
Moralo1–1
Atlético Pueblonuevo1–1
Quintana3–0Moralo0–2Villafranca0–2Cabeza Buey (A)
Jaraíz0–0
Guadiana1–1
Montijo3–1Jaraíz1–2
Villanovense2–3
Badajoz1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
Santa AmaliaCabeza Buey| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Llerenense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  Azuaga | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 | Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Castuera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 |  Jerez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 | Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |  CD Zafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 | Cabeza Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 |  Puebla Calzada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Montijo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 |  Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Quintana | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Santa Amalia- ●Santa Amalia have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Santa Amalia have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Cabeza Buey- ●Cabeza Buey have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Cabeza Buey have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
Santa AmaliaLlerenense0–3Montijo0–0Villafranca1–3Moralo1–1Atlético Pueblonuevo1–1Quintana3–0Cabeza Buey25/10Azuaga01/11Guadiana08/11Cabeza BueyCD Zafra2–1Jaraíz0–0Villanovense1–1Guadiana1–1Azuaga1–2Jerez0–1Santa Amalia25/10Gévora01/11Puebla Calzada08/11Top Scorers
Santa AmaliaCabeza BueyCards Given
Santa AmaliaCabeza Buey