Bala Azul vs Santa Cruz — Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
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Bala Azul and Santa Cruz meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Bala Azul have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Santa Cruz have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Bala Azul and 1.13 for Santa Cruz. The models give Bala Azul a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Santa Cruz win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Bala AzulSanta CruzHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Bala Azul | Home | Away | Santa Cruz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 33% | 40% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Bala Azul | Home | Away | Santa Cruz | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 33% | 80% | 75% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 0% | 60% | 38% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 67% | 20% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bala Azul | Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bala Azul | Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 100% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Bala Azul (H)
SFC Minerva2–0
Alcantarilla0–1
Mazarrón FC1–0
UD Caravaca2–4
Muleño3–4
Olímpico Totana0–0Santa Cruz (A)Alcantarilla1–1Mazarrón FC2–2
San Javier2–3
Cartagena LU II1–0
Yeclano II2–0
Atlético Pulpileño0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Santa CruzBala Azul| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Santomera | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 3 | San Javier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 15 |
| 4 |  UCAM Murcia II | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 4 |  El Palmar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Águilas II | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Unión Molinense | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bala Azul | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atlético Pulpileño | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Los Garres | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 | Olímpico Totana | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 |  Cotillas CD | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Balsicas Atlético | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Alcantarilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Cartagena LU II | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 15 | SFC Minerva | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Algar | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 6 |
| 17 |  Bullas Deportivo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
Team Insights
Bala Azul- ●Bala Azul have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bala Azul failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of Bala Azul's goals have been scored away.
- ●87% of Bala Azul's goals conceded were conceded away.
Santa Cruz- ●Santa Cruz have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Santa Cruz have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Santa Cruz have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Santa Cruz have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Santa Cruz's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Santa Cruz's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Bala AzulSFC Minerva2–0Unión Molinense1–1Atlético Pulpileño3–2Cotillas CD1–2Alcantarilla0–1Águilas II0–0Santa Cruz04/11UCAM Murcia II08/11Los Garres15/11Santa CruzUnión Molinense2–0Atlético Pulpileño3–2Cotillas CD1–0Alcantarilla1–1Águilas II1–1Mazarrón FC2–2Bala Azul04/11SFC Minerva08/11UCAM Murcia II15/11Top Scorers
Bala AzulSanta CruzCards Given
Bala AzulSanta Cruz