Playas Sotavento vs Mensajero — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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Playas Sotavento and Mensajero meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Playas Sotavento have recorded 0 wins from 8 matches this season (0% win rate), averaging 0.75 goals scored and 2.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Mensajero have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Playas Sotavento and 1.31 for Mensajero. The models give Playas Sotavento a 37% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Mensajero win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Playas SotaventoMensajeroHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Playas Sotavento | Home | Away | Mensajero | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Playas Sotavento | Home | Away | Mensajero | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Playas Sotavento | Mensajero | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 25% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Playas Sotavento | Mensajero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 63% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 75% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Playas Sotavento (H)
Panadería Pulido1–1
Real Unión de Tenerife0–3
Los Llanos2–2
Las Palmas III0–2Mensajero (A)Panadería Pulido0–5Las Palmas III2–2
Villaverde Norte2–1
Anaza0–1
Tamaraceite0–2
Arucas1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UD San Fernando | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 |  San Miguel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Tenerife C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Marino | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Las Palmas III | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Unión Sur Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Mensajero | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Los Llanos | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  San Bartolomé | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Anaza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Villa Santa Brígida | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Lanzarote | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Estrella | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Playas Sotavento | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  Laguna de Duero | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 18 | Villaverde Norte | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Playas Sotavento- ●Playas Sotavento have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Playas Sotavento failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Playas Sotavento have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
Mensajero- ●Mensajero have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mensajero have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mensajero have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●82% of Mensajero's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Playas SotaventoPanadería Pulido1–1San Bartolomé1–1Laguna de Duero1–1Real Unión de Tenerife0–3Marino1–6Los Llanos2–2Unión Sur Yaiza31/10Estrella07/11Lanzarote14/11MensajeroPanadería Pulido0–5Las Palmas III2–2San Bartolomé2–2Villaverde Norte2–1San Miguel1–0Anaza0–1Los Llanos31/10Marino08/11Real Unión de Tenerife14/11Top Scorers
Playas SotaventoMensajero