UD San Fernando vs San Miguel — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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UD San Fernando and San Miguel meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 15 November 2026. UD San Fernando have recorded 6 wins from 7 matches this season (86% win rate), averaging 2.71 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 14% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 71% of games. San Miguel have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.18 for UD San Fernando and 0.89 for San Miguel. The models give UD San Fernando a 65% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an San Miguel win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
UD San FernandoSan MiguelHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD San | Home | Away | San Miguel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 100% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 63% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 63% | 100% | 25% | 38% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| UD San | Home | Away | San Miguel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 63% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD San | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS | 25% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD San | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 88% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 88% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
UD San (H)
Real Unión de Tenerife3–2
Villa Santa Brígida4–0
Estrella3–0
Playas Sotavento5–0
Tamaraceite1–1
Panadería Pulido1–2San Miguel (A)Panadería Pulido1–4
Anaza2–0
Mensajero0–1
Lanzarote1–1
Las Palmas III1–0
Telde3–1Head to Head · 2 matches
UD San FernandoSan Miguel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Tenerife C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Marino | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Las Palmas III | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Unión Sur Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Mensajero | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Los Llanos | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  San Bartolomé | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Anaza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brígida | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Lanzarote | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Estrella | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Playas Sotavento | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  Laguna de Duero | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 18 |  Villaverde Norte | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
UD San- ●UD San Fernando have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●71% of UD San Fernando's goals have been scored at home.
San Miguel- ●San Miguel have won their last 2 matches.
- ●San Miguel have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●San Miguel have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●San Miguel have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Miguel have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●San Miguel have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●76% of San Miguel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of San Miguel's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
UD SanMensajero2–2Real Unión de Tenerife3–2Villa Santa Brígida4–0Lanzarote1–0Estrella3–0Unión Sur Yaiza0–2Tenerife C01/11Anaza07/11San Miguel15/11San MiguelVillaverde Norte5–0Estrella3–0Panadería Pulido1–4Anaza2–0Tenerife C2–0Mensajero0–1San Bartolomé31/10Las Palmas III07/11UD San Fernando15/11Top Scorers
UD SanSan Miguel