Mensajero vs Marino — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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Mensajero and Marino meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Mensajero have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Marino have won 50% of their 8 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Mensajero and 1.09 for Marino. The models give Mensajero a 55% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Marino win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Mensajero
MarinoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mensajero | Home | Away | Marino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Mensajero | Home | Away | Marino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 88% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 13% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mensajero | Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mensajero | Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Mensajero (H)
San Bartolomé2–2
San Miguel1–0
Tenerife C1–0
Real Murcia1–2
Tamaraceite1–0
UD San Fernando1–0Marino (A)
Los Llanos2–1
Unión Sur Yaiza1–2
Laguna de Duero2–2
Villa Santa Brígida0–3San Miguel0–2Tamaraceite2–2Head to Head · 7 matches
MensajeroMarinoMensajeroMarinoMarinoMensajeroMarino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 2 |  Panadería Pulido | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Unión de Tenerife | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 | Tenerife C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Marino | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Las Palmas III | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Mensajero | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Los Llanos | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | San Bartolomé | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 |  Anaza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brígida | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Lanzarote | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Estrella | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Playas Sotavento | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 | Laguna de Duero | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 18 |  Villaverde Norte | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Mensajero- ●Mensajero have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mensajero have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Mensajero have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●82% of Mensajero's goals conceded were conceded away.
Marino- ●Marino have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Marino have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Marino have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Marino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●69% of Marino's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Marino have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MensajeroPanadería Pulido0–5Las Palmas III2–2San Bartolomé2–2Villaverde Norte2–1San Miguel1–0Anaza0–1UD San Fernando25/10Los Llanos31/10Marino08/11MarinoLos Llanos2–1Estrella1–0Unión Sur Yaiza1–2Playas Sotavento6–1Laguna de Duero2–2Real Unión de Tenerife3–1Lanzarote25/10Villa Santa Brígida01/11Mensajero08/11Top Scorers
MensajeroMarinoCards Given
MensajeroMarino