Marino vs Villa Santa Brígida — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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Marino and Villa Santa Brígida meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Marino have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Villa Santa Brígida have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Marino and 0.98 for Villa Santa Brígida. The models give Marino a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Villa Santa Brígida win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marino | Home | Away | Villa Santa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 80% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 67% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 20% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Marino | Home | Away | Villa Santa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 80% | 100% | 63% | 25% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 67% | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 20% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 20% | 0% | 38% | 75% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marino | Villa Santa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 75% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marino | Villa Santa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 11 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 | |
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 | |
| 16 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -15 | 4 | |
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Marino have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Marino have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Marino have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Marino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●69% of Marino's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Marino have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Villa Santa Brígida have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Villa Santa Brígida have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●91% of Villa Santa Brígida's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●89% of Villa Santa Brígida's points have been earned at home.