Migjorn vs Arenal — Tercera División RFEF - Group 11
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Migjorn and Arenal meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Migjorn have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Arenal have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.86 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 86%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Migjorn and 1.30 for Arenal. The models give Migjorn a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Arenal win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Migjorn
ArenalHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Migjorn | Home | Away | Arenal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Migjorn | Home | Away | Arenal | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Migjorn | Arenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS | 63% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Migjorn | Arenal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 13% | 14% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Migjorn (H)
Sineu0–0
Cardassar2–3
Binissalem1–0
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas1–3
Porreres1–3
Santanyí1–1Arenal (A)
Llosetense1–3
Mercadal2–1
Constància0–3Llosetense0–3
Sóller3–3
Manacor1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Platges Calvià | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Constància | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 | Manacor | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 | Cardassar | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 |
| 6 | Santanyí | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 7 | Porreres | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 8 |  PE Sant Jordi | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 9 |  Alcúdia | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 10 |  Formentera | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | Llosetense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Binissalem | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Andratx | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Migjorn | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 16 | Arenal | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 17 |  Inter Ibiza | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 | Sineu | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Migjorn- ●Migjorn have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Migjorn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●68% of Migjorn's goals conceded were conceded away.
Arenal- ●Arenal have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Arenal failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Arenal have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
MigjornAndratx4–4Sineu0–0Cardassar2–3Platges Calvià1–3Binissalem1–0Manacor1–5Formentera01/11Inter Ibiza08/11Arenal14/11ArenalManacor1–1PE Sant Jordi0–3Llosetense1–3Porreres1–2Mercadal2–1Alcúdia1–2Binissalem31/10Platges Calvià07/11Ibiza Islas Pitiusas11/11Top Scorers
MigjornArenalCards Given
MigjornArenal